Immunosuppression use in early systemic sclerosis may be increasing over time
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Immunosuppression remains the main treatment for progressing skin involvement, interstitial lung disease and inflammatory joint or muscle disease in systemic sclerosis. This study investigated the pattern and trends in immunosuppressive agents used in early systemic sclerosis (diagnosed before and after 2007) to determine whether the changes in the preferred type, timing and combination of immunosuppression took place over the past decade. Methods: In total, 397 Canadian Scleroderma Research Group database patients (183 diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis and 214 limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis) who had baseline and follow-up visits within 3 years (mean: 1.8 ± 0.8) after disease onset were included: 82% females, age at diagnosis 53 ± 13 years. Bivariate, chi-square, analysis of variance and adjusted regression analyses were used. Results: In total, 115 diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis patients (63%) and 62 limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis (29%) received immunosuppressive drugs, most commonly methotrexate, followed by mycophenolate mofetil and cyclophosphamide. In diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis, immunosuppressants were prescribed after 2007 more often (74% vs 50%, p = 0.001), especially methotrexate ( p = 0.02) and mycophenolate mofetil ( p = 0.04), and earlier (peak at 2 years after onset). Immunosuppressive therapy was associated with male gender, interstitial lung disease, anti-Scl70 positivity, ACA negativity and inflammatory joint disease in limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis and with ACA negativity and a higher modified Rodnan skin score in diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis. Multivariate regression analysis showed that the use of immunosuppressants after 2007 was predicted only by ACA negativity in limited cutaneous systemic sclerosis and by younger age in diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis. Conclusion: Over the past decade, there has been a trend to prescribe immunosuppressants more often and earlier in diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis patients, regardless of modified Rodnan skin score. Methotrexate is being more frequently used, and mycophenolate mofetil has gained favour over cyclophosphamide. Autoantibody status was the most consistent predictor of immunosuppressive therapy.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it