MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W3157056874 · doi:10.24908/iqurcp.8388

Ancient Atmospheric Lead Pollution

2016· article· en· W3157056874 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Julian Varaschin

Bibliographic record

VenueInquiry Queen s Undergraduate Research Conference Proceedings · 2016
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArchaeology and ancient environmental studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLead (geology)PollutionAtmospheric pollutionIce coreRoman EmpireEarth scienceGeographyEnvironmental scienceArchaeologyGeologyClimatologyPaleontologyEcology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In the early 90s, evidence was found in ice cores taken from Greenland of increased levels of ancient atmospheric lead, preserved by way of the annual precipitation that eventually formed into ice sheets. Since that time, similar records of atmospheric lead pollution have been uncovered in myriad other naturally forming deposits, including lake sediments and bogs. These records of lead pollution are presumed to reflect an increase in anthropogenic atmospheric lead pollution as metal became more heavily utilized by ancient peoples. This pollution confirmed for many the size and sophistication of the Roman economy. The records exhibit a clear peak around the beginning of the first millennium, roughly the midpoint of the Roman Empire and such levels were not seen again until after the industrial revolution was well underway. This peak in atmospheric lead is thought to show the climax of Roman Industry, followed by a subsequent decline and historians and scientists have sought to use this evidence as a proxy for the ancient world economy, but more specifically for the so called rise and fall of the Roman Empire. This presentation will explore the science behind linking the atmospheric lead pollution to Roman mining activities and why lead pollution is so strongly thought to reflect the roman economy. Alternative theories as to how atmospheric lead was produced in such quantities will be explored, including, increased agriculture and wood burning. Lastly, confounding factors will be considered such as volcanism and other ancient sources, including mining in Asia Minor and Han China.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.016

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.068
GPT teacher head0.302
Teacher spread0.234 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2016
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueInquiry Queen s Undergraduate Research Conference ProceedingsSame topicArchaeology and ancient environmental studiesFrench-language works237,207