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Record W3159986793 · doi:10.1101/2021.05.14.21257058

Multicenter cohort study of multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C)

2021· preprint· en· W3159986793 on OpenAlexaffabout
Joanna Merckx, Suzette Cooke, Tala El Tal, Ronald M. Laxer, Ari Bitnun, Shaun K. Morris, E. Ann Yeh, Carmen Yea, Peter J. Gill, Jesse Papenburg, Marie‐Astrid Lefebvre, Rolando Ulloa‐Gutiérrez, Helena Brenes-Chacón, Adriana Yock‐Corrales, Gabriela Ivankovich‐Escoto, Alejandra Soriano‐Fallas, Marcela Hernández-de Mezerville, Tammie Dewan, Léa Restivo, Alireza Nateghian, Behzad Haghighi Aski, Ali Manafi, Rachel Dwilow, Jared Bullard, Alison Lopez, Manish Sadarangani, Ashley Roberts, Michelle Barton, Dara Petel, Nicole Le Saux, Jennifer Bowes, Rupeena Purewal, Janell Lautermilch, Sarah Tehseen, Ann Bayliss, Jacqueline Wong, Kirk Leifso, Cheryl Foo, Joan Robinson

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2021
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicKawasaki Disease and Coronary Complications
Canadian institutionsUniversity of AlbertaMemorial University of NewfoundlandQueen's UniversityMcMaster UniversityUniversity of ManitobaTrillium Health CentreUniversity of SaskatchewanMcGill UniversityUniversity of OttawaUniversity of TorontoWestern UniversityBC Children's HospitalUniversity of CalgaryUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineConfidence intervalQuartileCohortPediatricsCohort studyIntensive care unitInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract BACKGROUND SARS-CoV-2 infection can lead to multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C). We investigated risk factors for severe disease and explored changes in severity over time. METHODS Children up to 17 years of age admitted March 1, 2020 through March 7 th , 2021 to 15 hospitals in Canada, Iran and Costa Rica with confirmed or probable MIS-C were included. Descriptive analysis and comparison by diagnostic criteria, country, and admission date was performed. Adjusted absolute average risks (AR) and risk differences (RD) were estimated for characteristics associated with ICU admission or cardiac involvement. RESULTS Of 232 cases (106 confirmed) with median age 5.8 years, 56% were male, and 22% had comorbidities. ICU admission occurred in 73 (31%) but none died. Median length of stay was 6 days (inter-quartile range 4-9). Children 6 to 12 years old had the highest AR for ICU admission (44%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 34-53). Initial ferritin greater than 500 mcg/L was associated with ICU admission. When comparing cases admitted up to October 31, 2020 to those admitted later, the AR for ICU admission increased from 25% (CI 17-33) to 37% (CI 29-46) and for cardiac involvement from 44% (CI 35-53) to 75% (CI 66-84). Risk estimates for ICU admission in the Canadian cohort demonstrated a higher risk in December 2020-March 2021 compared to March-May 2020 (RD 25%; 95%CI 7-44). INTERPRETATION MIS-C occurred primarily in previously well children. Illness severity appeared to increase over time. Despite a high ICU admission incidence, most children were discharged within one week.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.014
GPT teacher head0.271
Teacher spread0.257 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2021
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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