Informing Developmental Milestone Achievement for Children With Autism: Machine Learning Approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Care for children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) can be challenging for families and medical care systems. This is especially true in low- and- middle-income countries such as Bangladesh. To improve family-practitioner communication and developmental monitoring of children with ASD, mCARE (Mobile-Based Care for Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder Using Remote Experience Sampling Method) was developed. Within this study, mCARE was used to track child milestone achievement and family sociodemographic assets to inform mCARE feasibility/scalability and family asset-informed practitioner recommendations. OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this paper are threefold. First, it documents how mCARE can be used to monitor child milestone achievement. Second, it demonstrates how advanced machine learning models can inform our understanding of milestone achievement in children with ASD. Third, it describes family/child sociodemographic factors that are associated with earlier milestone achievement in children with ASD (across 5 machine learning models). METHODS: Using mCARE-collected data, this study assessed milestone achievement in 300 children with ASD from Bangladesh. In this study, we used 4 supervised machine learning algorithms (decision tree, logistic regression, K-nearest neighbor [KNN], and artificial neural network [ANN]) and 1 unsupervised machine learning algorithm (K-means clustering) to build models of milestone achievement based on family/child sociodemographic details. For analyses, the sample was randomly divided in half to train the machine learning models and then their accuracy was estimated based on the other half of the sample. Each model was specified for the following milestones: Brushes teeth, Asks to use the toilet, Urinates in the toilet or potty, and Buttons large buttons. RESULTS: This study aimed to find a suitable machine learning algorithm for milestone prediction/achievement for children with ASD using family/child sociodemographic characteristics. For Brushes teeth, the 3 supervised machine learning models met or exceeded an accuracy of 95% with logistic regression, KNN, and ANN as the most robust sociodemographic predictors. For Asks to use toilet, 84.00% accuracy was achieved with the KNN and ANN models. For these models, the family sociodemographic predictors of "family expenditure" and "parents' age" accounted for most of the model variability. The last 2 parameters, Urinates in toilet or potty and Buttons large buttons, had an accuracy of 91.00% and 76.00%, respectively, in ANN. Overall, the ANN had a higher accuracy (above ~80% on average) among the other algorithms for all the parameters. Across the models and milestones, "family expenditure," "family size/type," "living places," and "parent's age and occupation" were the most influential family/child sociodemographic factors. CONCLUSIONS: mCARE was successfully deployed in a low- and middle-income country (ie, Bangladesh), providing parents and care practitioners a mechanism to share detailed information on child milestones achievement. Using advanced modeling techniques this study demonstrates how family/child sociodemographic elements can inform child milestone achievement. Specifically, families with fewer sociodemographic resources reported later milestone attainment. Developmental science theories highlight how family/systems can directly influence child development and this study provides a clear link between family resources and child developmental progress. Clinical implications for this work could include supporting the larger family system to improve child milestone achievement.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".