Bibliographic record
Abstract
Human genetics is a powerful tool to probe disease mechanisms and therapeutics. A prominent example is PCSK9 in hypercholesterolemia: identification of individuals with genetically low PCSK9 levels and protection from cardiovascular disease helped pave the way for anti-PCSK9 monoclonal antibody drugs (1). Furthermore, cell and animal studies of PCSK9 revealed a hitherto unappreciated pathway of low-density lipoprotein receptor degradation. Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a condition ripe for such genetic studies of mechanism, and in great need of therapeutics. The study by Tremblay et al in this issue (2) deploys Mendelian randomization (MR) to investigate galectin-3 in NAFLD, and phenome-wide association studies (PheWAS) to look for other disease associations. The key background to this study is that galectin-3 inhibitors such as belapectin are candidates for treatment of progressive NAFLD, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis with liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. A large multicenter phase 2b/3 study (NCT04365868) of more than 1000 patients is investigating belapectin for prevention of esophageal varices, a complication of portal hypertension from cirrhosis. Galectin-3 is a beta-galactoside binding protein, 1 of 14 mammalian lectin family carbohydrate-binding proteins, and it functions in diverse biological processes, including cell adhesion and growth. Galectin-3 is located intracellularly and on the cell surface, and in the extracellular space such that it is also found in circulation. There is an expansive literature on galectin-3 in a host of diseases (3), including fibrotic diseases, cardiovascular disease, heart failure, neurodegeneration, and various cancers. Thus, galectin-3 is considered a drug target for many such diseases, and there was even a recent suggestion that galectin-3 inhibition could be beneficial in COVID-19 (4). Some animal models support a causal role of galectin-3 in pathology, but this remains an open question as it may be more relevant as a biomarker of diverse disease processes (5). To test a causal role of galectin-3 in disease, Tremblay et al first identified genetic variants (single nucleotide polymorphisms, SNPs) that are associated with higher levels of circulating galectin-3. They focus upon SNPs with significant effects in the LGALS3 locus (encoding galectin-3), indicating cis-acting variants affecting gene expression. Of course, the elevations in circulating galectin-3 found in various diseases could reflect posttranscriptional effects, but the analysis in this study was designed to ask whether higher galectin-3 per se causally affects disease risk. Next, the authors used MR to test whether these SNP alleles affecting circulating galectin-3 levels are associated with NAFLD at the population level. MR relies on the random inheritance of alleles during meiosis, and powerfully controls for confounding and reverse causality which can plague epidemiological studies. Here the authors found no difference in NAFLD risk associated with circulating galectin-3 levels. This negative result was consistent with the quite low mRNA expression levels of galectin-3 in liver relative to other tissues—though it notably remains unknown which tissues contribute most to circulating galectin-3. Finally, the authors performed PheWAS to test whether the galectin-3 SNPs associate with any diagnoses based on electronic medical record (EMR) interrogation. They note the importance of this analysis, as belapectin could be repurposed for other diseases. After correction for multiple testing, the results were again negative, with no apparent difference in risk of any disease in people with genetic differences in circulating galectin-3 levels. In aggregate, these results suggest that the association of galectin-3 with NAFLD and other diseases may reflect reverse causality, with disease processes increasing galectin-3 levels, but not higher galectin-3 levels increasing disease risk. If this is true, then therapeutic strategies to block galectin-3 will likely prove ineffective. Therefore, the authors present valuable negative data regarding galectin-3 as a causal factor in NAFLD and other diseases. There are several caveats to this study. Regarding NAFLD, the authors acknowledge the potential of misclassification in EMRs, with a likely underestimate of the prevalence of NAFLD, and the lack of imaging or biopsy to confirm pathology or assess disease severity. For NAFLD and other diseases, there are theoretical models whereby genetically higher circulating galectin-3 may not increase disease risk, yet blocking galectin-3 in affected tissues could nonetheless ameliorate disease processes. Imagine, for instance, that circulating galectin-3 is normally derived nearly entirely from adipose tissue, yet an inhibitor of galectin-3 could still affect local fibrotic disease processes in liver, lung, or kidney or affect tumor galectin-3 in cancer. The mechanism of potential benefits in fibrosis and cancer remains unclear but would be local and tissue-autonomous in this model, and thus would not correlate with circulating galectin-3. Therefore, as the authors note, clinical trials are still necessary to test galectin-3 blockers. If such trials fail, the analysis here would support the hypothesis that galectin-3 is more a biomarker of disease rather than a therapeutic target. electronic medical record Mendelian randomization nonalcoholic fatty liver disease phenome-wide association study single nucleotide polymorphism Disclosures: The author has nothing to disclose. Data sharing is not applicable to this article as no datasets were generated or analyzed during the current study.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.017 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.021 | 0.020 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".