Predictive variables for peripheral neuropathy in treated HIV type 1 infection revealed by machine learning
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Peripheral neuropathies (PNPs) in HIV-infected patients are highly debilitating because of neuropathic pain and physical disabilities. We defined prevalence and associated predictive variables for PNP subtypes in a cohort of persons living with HIV. DESIGN: Adult persons living with HIV in clinical care were recruited to a longitudinal study examining neurological complications. METHODS: Each patient was assessed for symptoms and signs of PNP with demographic, laboratory, and clinical variables. Univariate, multiple logistic regression and machine learning analyses were performed by comparing patients with and without PNP. RESULTS: Three patient groups were identified: PNP (n = 111) that included HIV-associated distal sensory polyneuropathy (n = 90) or mononeuropathy (n = 21), and non-neuropathy (n = 408). Univariate analyses showed multiple variables differed significantly between the non-neuropathy and PNP groups including age, estimated HIV type 1 (HIV-1) duration, education, employment, neuropathic pain, peak viral load, polypharmacy, diabetes, cardiovascular disorders, AIDS, and prior neurotoxic nucleoside antiretroviral drug exposure. Classification algorithms distinguished those with PNP, all with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of more than 0.80. Random forest models showed greater accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values compared with the multiple logistic regression analysis. Relative importance plots showed that the foremost predictive variables of PNP were HIV-1 duration, peak plasma viral load, age, and low CD4+ T-cell levels. CONCLUSION: PNP in HIV-1 infection remains common affecting 21.4% of patients in care. Machine-learning models uncovered variables related to PNP that were undetected by conventional analyses, emphasizing the importance of statistical algorithmic approaches to understanding complex neurological syndromes.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".