Out-of-Distribution Generalization from Labeled and Unlabeled Gene Expression Data for Drug Response Prediction
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Data discrepancy between preclinical and clinical datasets poses a major challenge for accurate drug response prediction based on gene expression data. Different methods of transfer learning have been proposed to address this data discrepancy. These methods generally use cell lines as source domains and patients, patient-derived xenografts, or other cell lines as target domains. However, they assume that they have access to the target domain during training or fine-tuning and they can only take labeled source domains as input. The former is a strong assumption that is not satisfied during deployment of these models in the clinic. The latter means these methods rely on labeled source domains which are of limited size. To avoid these assumptions, we formulate drug response prediction as an out-of-distribution generalization problem which does not assume that the target domain is accessible during training. Moreover, to exploit unlabeled source domain data, which tends to be much more plentiful than labeled data, we adopt a semi-supervised approach. We propose Velodrome, a semi-supervised method of out-of-distribution generalization that takes labeled and unlabeled data from different resources as input and makes generalizable predictions. Velodrome achieves this goal by introducing an objective function that combines a supervised loss for accurate prediction, an alignment loss for generalization, and a consistency loss to incorporate unlabeled samples. Our experimental results demonstrate that Velodrome outperforms state-of-the-art pharmacogenomics and transfer learning baselines on cell lines, patient-derived xenografts, and patients. Finally, we showed that Velodrome models generalize to different tissue types that were well-represented, under-represented, or completely absent in the training data. Overall, our results suggest that Velodrome may guide precision oncology more accurately.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.005 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".