Information anchored reference‐based sensitivity analysis for truncated normal data with application to survival analysis
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The primary analysis of time‐to‐event data typically makes the censoring at random assumption, that is, that—conditional on covariates in the model—the distribution of event times is the same, whether they are observed or unobserved. In such cases, we need to explore the robustness of inference to more pragmatic assumptions about patients post‐censoring in sensitivity analyses . Reference‐based multiple imputation, which avoids analysts explicitly specifying the parameters of the unobserved data distribution, has proved attractive to researchers. Building on results for longitudinal continuous data, we show that inference using a Tobit regression imputation model for reference‐based sensitivity analysis with right censored log normal data is information anchored , meaning the proportion of information lost due to missing data under the primary analysis is held constant across the sensitivity analyses. We illustrate our theoretical results using simulation and a clinical trial case study.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it