Mixed geographically and temporally weighted regression for spatio-temporal deformation modelling
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
When the regression coefficient of independent variable has both global stationarity and spatio-temporal non-stationarity properties, the deformation model based on the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) will no longer be applicable. In order to resolve this problem, we propose an improved method to establish the spatio-temporal deformation model using mixed geographically and temporally weighted regression (MGTWR). In this method, both the global regression coefficient and the variable regression coefficient are selected for regression coefficient hypothesis test, and the local linear two-step estimation method is used to fit the MGTWR model. A dam deformation modelling example shows that the MGTWR model improves the average prediction accuracy by 57.6% compared to the GTWR model when the regression coefficients have both global stationarity and spatio-temporal non-stationarity properties.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it