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Record W3168647111 · doi:10.1214/22-aoas1726

Evaluating the use of generalized dynamic weighted ordinary least squares for individualized HIV treatment strategies

2023· article· en· W3168647111 on OpenAlexaff
Larry Dong, Erica E. M. Moodie, Laura Villain, Rodolphe Thiébaut

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Annals of Applied Statistics · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMathematics
TopicAdvanced Causal Inference Techniques
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
FundersAgence Nationale de la Recherche
KeywordsCategorical variableEstimatorOrdinary least squaresHuman immunodeficiency virus (HIV)MathematicsPopulationMathematical optimizationRobustness (evolution)Computer scienceMedicineStatisticsEconometricsAlgorithmImmunology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A dynamic treatment regimes (DTR) represents a statistical paradigm in precision medicine which aims to optimize patient outcomes by individualizing treatments. At its simplest, a DTR may require only a single decision to be made; this special case is called an individualized treatment rule (ITR) and is often used to maximize short-term rewards. Generalized dynamic weighted ordinary least squares (G-dWOLS), a DTR estimation method that offers theoretical advantages such as double robustness of parameter estimators in the decision rules, has been recently extended to accommodate categorical treatments. In this work G-dWOLS is applied to longitudinal data to estimate an optimal ITR. This novel method is demonstrated in simulations and is then applied to a population affected by HIV, whereby an ITR for the administration of Interleukin 7 (IL-7) is devised to maximize the duration where the CD4 load is above a healthy threshold (500 cells/μL) while preventing the administration of unnecessary injections.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.022
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.086
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.022
Threshold uncertainty score0.117

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0220.086
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.002
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.606
GPT teacher head0.540
Teacher spread0.066 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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