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A Simulation-Optimization Model for Solar PV Panel Selection Under Solar Irradiance and Load Uncertainty

2020· article· en· W3169181845 on OpenAlexaff
Maedeh Motalebi, Mohammad Mahdi Nasiri, Hamed Shakouri G., Hosein Taghaddos

Bibliographic record

VenueAdvances in Industrial Engineering · 2020
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnergy
TopicEnergy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPayback periodTariffNet present valueSubsidyElectricityInvestment (military)Photovoltaic systemIrradianceSolar irradianceEnvironmental scienceEconomicsProduction (economics)Environmental economicsMicroeconomicsEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

In this reserach, a multi-objective model is presented considering simulated behavior of high-efficiency rooftop solar PV panels in factory, which are among the largest producers of green-house gases. The paper proposes a simulation-optimization approach is used to maximize the net present value (NPV) of economic benefits along with minimizing the payback period (PBP) of the investment, and maximizing solar energy consumption rate (SECR). In addition, the solar PV panels degradation and maintenance cost, as well as the uncertainty in solar irra-diance and demand load, are also considered. The study consists of two scenarios, in the first of which both electricity tariffs and feed-in-tariffs (FiT) are fixed by a long-term contract. The second scenario investigates the situation in which subsidies on electricity tariff are removed. The best type of panels are found in each scenario considering trade-off between objective functions. The preferred trade-off solution in the first scenario, with 2% increase in PBP, achieves more than 10% growth in NPV which is about $15000 in a year. In the second sce-nario, with only about 0.2% decrease in NPV and 3% increase in PBP, the preferred solution attains 9% increase in SECR.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.980
Threshold uncertainty score0.722

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.040
GPT teacher head0.247
Teacher spread0.208 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations2
Published2020
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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