Long-term water quality monitoring in Lake Simcoe based on the empirical method and machine learning
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract: The traditional water quality monitoring methods are time-consuming and laborious, which can only reflect the water quality status of single point scale, and have some problems such as irregular sampling time and limited sample size. Remote sensing technology provides a new idea for water quality monitoring, and the temporal resolution of MODIS is one day, which is suitable for long-term, continuous real-time large-scale monitoring of lakes. In this study, Lake Simcoe (located in Ontario, Canada) was selected as the research area. The long-term spatiotemporal changes of chlorophyll-a, transparency, total phosphorus and dissolved oxygen were analyzed by comparing the empirical method, multiple linear regression, random forest and neural network with MODIS data. Finally, the water quality condition of Lake Simcoe is evaluated. The results show that the overall retrieval results of two machine learning models are better than that of the empirical method. The optimal retrieval accuracy R² for four water quality parameters are 0.976, 0.988, 0.943, 0.995, and RMSE are 0.13μg/L, 0.3m, 0.002mg/L and 0.14mg/L, respectively. On the annual scale, the annual mean values of the four water quality parameters during the 10-year period from 2009 to 2018 were 1.37μg/L, 6.9m, 0.0112mg/L and 10.17mg/L, respectively. On the monthly scale, chlorophyll a, total phosphorus and dissolved oxygen first decreased and then increased at the time of year. The higher concentrations of chlorophyll a and total phosphorus in the south and east of Lake Simcoe are related to the input of nutrients from the surrounding residents and farmland. Key words: water quality monitoring; MODIS; empirical method; machine learning
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".