Differentiable Particle Filtering without Modifying the Forward Pass
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Particle filters are not compatible with automatic differentiation due to the presence of discrete resampling steps. While known estimators for the score function, based on Fisher's identity, can be computed using particle filters, up to this point they required manual implementation. In this paper we show that such estimators can be computed using automatic differentiation, after introducing a simple correction to the particle weights. This correction utilizes the stop-gradient operator and does not modify the particle filter operation on the forward pass, while also being cheap and easy to compute. Surprisingly, with the same correction automatic differentiation also produces good estimators for gradients of expectations under the posterior. We can therefore regard our method as a general recipe for making particle filters differentiable. We additionally show that it produces desired estimators for second-order derivatives and how to extend it to further reduce variance at the expense of additional computation.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it