A Weighted Poisson Distribution for Underdispersed Count Data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In this paper, we present a new weighted Poisson distribution for modeling underdispersed count data. Weighted Poisson distribution occurs naturally in contexts where the probability that a particular observation of Poisson variable enters the sample gets multiplied by some non-negative weight function. Suppose a realization y of Y a Poisson random variable enters the investigator’s record with probability proportional to w(y): Clearly, the recorded y is not an observation on Y, but on the random variable Yw, which is said to be the weighted version of Y. This distribution a two-parameter is from the exponential family, it includes and generalizes the Poisson distribution by weighting. It is a discrete distribution that is more flexible than other weighted Poisson distributions that have been proposed for modeling underdispersed count data, for example, the extended Poisson distribution (Dimitrov and Kolev, 2000). We present some moment properties and we estimate its parameters. One classical example is considered to compare the fits of this new distribution with the extended Poisson distribution.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.015 | 0.056 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.009 |
| Open science | 0.006 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".