Combining Coupled Skorokhod SDE and Lattice Gas Frameworks for Multi-fidelity Modelling of Complex Behavioral Systems
Bibliographic record
Abstract
To model reliably behavioral systems with complex bio-social interactions, accounting for uncertainty quantification, is critical for many application areas. However, in terms of the mathematical formulation of the corresponding problems, one of the major challenges is coming from the fact that corresponding stochastic processes should, in most cases, be considered in bounded domains, possibly with obstacles. This has been known for a long time and yet, very little has been done for the quantification of uncertainties in modelling complex behavioral systems described by such stochastic processes. In this paper, we address this challenge by considering a coupled system of Skorokhodtype stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describing interactions between active and passive participants of a mixed-population group. In developing a multi-fidelity modelling methodology for such behavioral systems, we combine lowand high-fidelity results obtained from (a) the solution of the underlying coupled system of SDEs and (b) simulations with a statistical-mechanics-based lattice gas model, where we employ a kinetic Monte Carlo procedure. Furthermore, we provide representative numerical examples of healthcare systems, subject to an epidemic, where the main focus in our considerations is given to an interacting particle system of asymptomatic and susceptible populations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".