High-Order Data-Driven Spatial Simulation of Categorical Variables
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Modern approaches for the spatial simulation of categorical variables are largely based on multi-point statistical methods, where a training image is used to derive complex spatial relationships using relevant patterns. In these approaches, simulated realizations are driven by the training image utilized, while the spatial statistics of the actual sample data are ignored. This paper presents a data-driven, high-order simulation approach based on the approximation of high-order spatial indicator moments. The high-order spatial statistics are expressed as functions of spatial distances that are similar to variogram models for two-point methods, while higher-order statistics are connected with lower-orders via boundary conditions. Using an advanced recursive B-spline approximation algorithm, the high-order statistics are reconstructed from the available data and are subsequently used for the construction of conditional distributions using Bayes’ rule. Random values are subsequently simulated for all unsampled grid nodes. The main advantages of the proposed technique are its ability to (a) simulate without a training image to reproduce the high-order statistics of the data, and (b) adapt the model’s complexity to the information available in the data. The practical intricacies and effectiveness of the proposed approach are demonstrated through applications at two copper deposits.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it