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Record W3185227007 · doi:10.3389/fsufs.2021.663448

Expansion of Agriculture in Northern Cold-Climate Regions: A Cross-Sectoral Perspective on Opportunities and Challenges

2021· article· en· W3185227007 on OpenAlexaff
Adrian Unc, Daniel Altdorff, Evgeny Abakumov, Sina M. Adl, Snorri Baldursson, Michel Bechtold, Douglas J. Cattani, L. G. Firbank, Stéphanie Grand, María Guðjónsdóttir, Cynthia M. Kallenbach, Amana Jemal Kedir, Pengfei Li, D. B. McKenzie, Debasmita Misra, Hirohiko Nagano, Deborah A. Neher, Jyrki Niemi, Maren Oelbermann, Jesper Overgård Lehmann, David Parsons, Sylvie A. Quideau, Anarmaa Sharkhuu, Bożena Smreczak, Jaana Sorvali, Jeremiah D. Vallotton, Joann K. Whalen, Erika H. Young, Mingchu Zhang, Nils Borchard

Bibliographic record

VenueFrontiers in Sustainable Food Systems · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicClimate change impacts on agriculture
Canadian institutionsUniversity of WaterlooUniversity of ManitobaUniversity of AlbertaUniversity of SaskatchewanAgriculture and Agri-Food CanadaMcGill UniversityMemorial University of Newfoundland
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAgricultureClimate changeArcticSustainable Agriculture Innovation NetworkPaceNatural resource economicsCroppingSustainable agricultureBusinessSustainable developmentGeographyEnvironmental resource managementEnvironmental protectionEnvironmental scienceEcologyEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Agriculture in the boreal and Arctic regions is perceived as marginal, low intensity and inadequate to satisfy the needs of local communities, but another perspective is that northern agriculture has untapped potential to increase the local supply of food and even contribute to the global food system. Policies across northern jurisdictions target the expansion and intensification of agriculture, contextualized for the diverse social settings and market foci in the north. However, the rapid pace of climate change means that traditional methods of adapting cropping systems and developing infrastructure and regulations for this region cannot keep up with climate change impacts. Moreover, the anticipated conversion of northern cold-climate natural lands to agriculture risks a loss of up to 76% of the carbon stored in vegetation and soils, leading to further environmental impacts. The sustainable development of northern agriculture requires local solutions supported by locally relevant policies. There is an obvious need for the rapid development of a transdisciplinary, cross-jurisdictional, long-term knowledge development, and dissemination program to best serve food needs and an agricultural economy in the boreal and Arctic regions while minimizing the risks to global climate, northern ecosystems and communities.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: Theoretical or conceptual
GenreCandidate signal: Review · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.027
Threshold uncertainty score0.054

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0040.004
Scholarly communication0.0060.004
Open science0.0010.003
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.063
GPT teacher head0.257
Teacher spread0.195 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreReview

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations79
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueFrontiers in Sustainable Food SystemsSame topicClimate change impacts on agricultureFrench-language works237,207