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Record W3185437709 · doi:10.1093/jalm/jfab064

Pushing the New NIH LDL-Cholesterol Equation to Its Limits

2021· letter· en· W3185437709 on OpenAlexaff
Victoria Higgins, Sarah Delaney, Daniel R. Beriault

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Journal of Applied Laboratory Medicine · 2021
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicLipoproteins and Cardiovascular Health
Canadian institutionsSt. Michael's HospitalUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLdl cholesterolCholesterolComputer scienceMedicineInternal medicine

Abstract

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LDL cholesterol (LDL-C) concentration is a key component for the clinical management of patients at risk for cardiovascular disease (1, 2). LDL-C is most commonly calculated by the Friedewald equation as LDL-C = total cholesterol (TC) − HDL cholesterol (HDL-C) − (triglycerides [TG]/5), in mg/dL (3). The factor 5 represents the average mass ratio of TG to VLDL-C (3). The Friedewald equation has several limitations mainly stemming from its fixed TG: VLDL-C mass ratio, including LDL-C underestimation in samples containing chylomicrons, low LDL-C concentration, or TG >400 mg/dL (4.52 mmol/L), and LDL-C overestimation in type III hyperlipoproteinemic patients due to their lower TG: VLDL-C mass ratio. The Martin-Hopkins LDL-C equation replaces the fixed factor of 5 with an empirical factor that varies with TG and non-HDL-C concentration (4). This equation more accurately estimates LDL-C when LDL-C < 70 mg/dL (1.81 mmol/L) and TG ≤400 mg/dL but is still not suited for type III hyperlipoproteinemic patients or patients with TG >400 mg/dL, and laboratories require licensing agreements to use its patented 180-cell factor table. The National Institutes of Health (NIH) equation (5), LDL-C=TC0.948-HDL-C0.971-(TG8.56+TGxNon-HDL-C2140-TG216100⁠) – 9.44, provides a better estimate of LDL-C in patients with hypertriglyceridemia (up to 800 mg/dL [9.02 mmol/L]) and/or low LDL-C and rarely produces negative LDL-C values (in contrast to the preceding equations). With the expected increase in clinical laboratories implementing the new NIH LDL-C equation and a paucity of real-world data on restrictions to its use, we offer practical solutions to limit negative LDL-C values and gross LDL-C overestimation. We validated the NIH LDL-C equation at our laboratory (St. Michael’s Hospital) using 3161 ultracentrifugation results and encountered 10 negative LDL-C results and 2 gross LDL-C overestimations. VLDL-C, HDL-C, and LDL-C were obtained by ultracentrifugation (Optima L-90K ultracentrifuge, Beckman) at 37 000 rpm for 16.5 h at 10 °C. LDL-C was calculated using the Friedewald equation (3), Martin-Hopkins equation (4), and NIH equation (5). Here, we report 5 scenarios of patient results encountered in our study cohort (Table 1) that push the NIH equation to its limit and can be prevented by implementing simple restrictions. Five patient scenarios resulting in LDL-C underestimation or overestimation by the NIH equation (conventional units). To convert cholesterol from mg/dL to mmol/L, divide 38.67. To convert triglycerides from mg/dL to mmol/L, divide by 88.57. UC, ultracentrifugation. Five patient scenarios resulting in LDL-C underestimation or overestimation by the NIH equation (conventional units). To convert cholesterol from mg/dL to mmol/L, divide 38.67. To convert triglycerides from mg/dL to mmol/L, divide by 88.57. UC, ultracentrifugation. LDL-C underestimation from hypertriglyceridemia: LDL-C was underestimated in scenarios 1 to 3 primarily due to TG >800 mg/dL, resulting in nonsensical negative LDL-C concentration. Scenario 1 exhibited the greatest LDL-C underestimation (−342 mg/dL [−8.84 mmol/L] compared to the reference method). This is likely due to grossly elevated TC, TG, and non-HDL-C (even exceeding the maximum concentrations of the NIH equation derivation cohort), leading to a grossly elevated VLDL-C estimation and LDL-C underestimation. While the NIH equation is more robust to variable VLDL particle composition than preceding equations, it underestimates LDL-C when TG >800 mg/dL (5). In line with our observations and those by Sampson et al. (5), we propose this equation is not used when TG >800 mg/dL, which is a great improvement from the Friedewald equation restriction of TG >400 mg/dL. LDL-C underestimation from low LDL-C: In scenario 4, TC, non-HDL-C, and LDL-C concentrations were low. The inaccuracy in VLDL-C estimation can generally be tolerated because VLDL-C concentration is small compared to LDL-C. However, with very low LDL-C concentration, the inaccuracy in VLDL-C becomes more pronounced and leads to inaccurate LDL-C estimation. We propose that the lower reporting limit for LDL-C calculated by the NIH equation should be 20 mg/dL (0.52 mmol/L), as the bias from ultracentrifugation exceeded −7.72 mg/dL (−0.20 mmol/L) below this concentration even after excluding samples with TG >800 mg/dL. LDL-C overestimation from extreme hypertriglyceridemia: In scenario 5, LDL-C was overestimated due to grossly high TG concentration. This was likely due to the TG2 factor of the NIH equation, which adjusts for extreme TG elevations that have proportionally more TG-rich chylomicrons and VLDL. Due to its high denominator, this term only becomes quantitatively important at very high TG values. However, since the TG concentration in this scenario is over double the maximum concentration observed in the NIH derivation cohort, this led to an overadjustment and subsequent LDL-C overestimation. The NIH equation exhibits superior accuracy for LDL-C estimation than preceding equations in most situations. However, here we review scenarios where even this improved equation is unable to accurately estimate LDL-C, requiring ultracentrifugation for LDL-C measurement. Additionally, LDL-C in patients with type III hyperlipoproteinemia, who were excluded from the cohort used to derive the NIH equation (5), was overestimated by 86.4 mg/dL (2.23 mmol/L; percentage difference: 75.0%), on average, compared to ultracentrifugation. We also examined the effects of applying limitations to TC and non-HDL-C concentrations, but this did not add any value beyond the 3 criteria already applied. In summary, the NIH equation should not be used in patients with type III hyperlipoproteinemia or TG >800 mg/dL and the lower reporting limit for LDL-C should be 20 mg/dL. In our cohort, these restrictions would have affected 7.05% of patients (78.9% of which had an LDL-C estimation >12% from the reference method) and prevented all 12 grossly inaccurate LDL-C estimations from being reported. Nonstandard Abbreviations: LDL-C, LDL cholesterol; TC, total cholesterol; HDL-C, HDL cholesterol; TG, triglycerides; VLDL-C, VLDL cholesterol. Author Contributions: All authors confirmed they have contributed to the intellectual content of this paper and have met the following 4 requirements: (a) significant contributions to the conception and design, acquisition of data, or analysis and interpretation of data; (b) drafting or revising the article for intellectual content; (c) final approval of the published article; and (d) agreement to be accountable for all aspects of the article thus ensuring that questions related to the accuracy or integrity of any part of the article are appropriately investigated and resolved. Authors' Disclosures or Potential Conflicts of Interest: No authors declared any potential conflicts of interest.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.009
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.065
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.066
Threshold uncertainty score0.048

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0090.065
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.002
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0040.006
Scholarly communication0.0060.006
Open science0.0020.003
Research integrity0.0660.076
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.005

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.038
GPT teacher head0.278
Teacher spread0.240 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations3
Published2021
Admission routes1
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