Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system
Why is this work in the frame?
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Full frame distilled prediction
Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
- Candidate categories
- none
- Consensus categories
- none
- Domain
- Candidate signal: noneConsensus signal: none
- Study design
- Candidate signal: ObservationalConsensus signal: Observational
- Genre
- Candidate signal: EmpiricalConsensus signal: Empirical
- Teacher disagreement score
- 0.074
- Threshold uncertainty score
- 0.315
- Validation status
machine_predicted_unvalidated·codex-gemma-dda1882f352a
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
- Teacher spread
- 0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
- Validation status
score_only:v0-immature-baseline· verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it
Abstract
No abstract. This is not a gap in this database; OpenAlex has none either. 23.3% of the frame is in this state, and the screen finds HALF as much metaresearch here, so the absence is a measured bias rather than a missing field.
The record
- Venue
- Nature Geoscience
- Topic
- Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
- Field
- Environmental Science
- Canadian institutions
- Université du Québec à Montréal
- Funders
- Fondo de Financiamiento de Centros de Investigación en Áreas PrioritariasLeibniz-GemeinschaftAgencia Nacional de Investigación y DesarrolloBundesministerium für Bildung und ForschungPast Global ChangesWisconsin Alumni Research FoundationMax-Planck-GesellschaftNational Science Foundation
- Keywords
- Tipping point (physics)Earth system scienceClimate changeGeologic recordLead (geology)Climate systemWarning systemAbrupt climate changeRegime shiftEnvironmental scienceGeologyClimatologyEnvironmental resource managementEarth scienceGlobal warmingEcologyComputer scienceEffects of global warmingEcosystemOceanographyPaleontology
- Has abstract in OpenAlex
- no