L-Type Calcium Channel: Predicting Pathogenic/Likely Pathogenic Status for Variants of Uncertain Clinical Significance
Bibliographic record
Abstract
(1) Background: Defects in gene CACNA1C, which encodes the pore-forming subunit of the human Cav1.2 channel (hCav1.2), are associated with cardiac disorders such as atrial fibrillation, long QT syndrome, conduction disorders, cardiomyopathies, and congenital heart defects. Clinical manifestations are known only for 12% of CACNA1C missense variants, which are listed in public databases. Bioinformatics approaches can be used to predict the pathogenic/likely pathogenic status for variants of uncertain clinical significance. Choosing a bioinformatics tool and pathogenicity threshold that are optimal for specific protein families increases the reliability of such predictions. (2) Methods and Results: We used databases ClinVar, Humsavar, gnomAD, and Ensembl to compose a dataset of pathogenic/likely pathogenic and benign variants of hCav1.2 and its 20 paralogues: voltage-gated sodium and calcium channels. We further tested the performance of sixteen in silico tools in predicting pathogenic variants. ClinPred demonstrated the best performance, followed by REVEL and MCap. In the subset of 309 uncharacterized variants of hCav1.2, ClinPred predicted the pathogenicity for 188 variants. Among these, 36 variants were also categorized as pathogenic/likely pathogenic in at least one paralogue of hCav1.2. (3) Conclusions: The bioinformatics tool ClinPred and the paralogue annotation method consensually predicted the pathogenic/likely pathogenic status for 36 uncharacterized variants of hCav1.2. An analogous approach can be used to classify missense variants of other calcium channels and novel variants of hCav1.2.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".