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Record W3198285495 · doi:10.21512/tw.v22i2.7056

Risk and Supply Chain Mitigation Analysis Using House of Risk Method and Analytical Network Process (A Case Study on Palm Oil Company)

2021· article· en· W3198285495 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Shelvy Kurniawan, Denny Marzuky, Rio Ryanto, Vanny Agustine

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Winners · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicSupply Chain Resilience and Risk Management
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersYork UniversityAmerican Museum of Natural History
KeywordsSupply chainBusinessPalm oilAnalytic network processSubsidiaryProcess (computing)Risk managementSupply chain risk managementRisk analysis (engineering)Operations managementSupply chain managementComputer scienceFinanceOperations researchMarketingAgricultural scienceEnvironmental scienceAnalytic hierarchy processEconomicsEngineeringService management

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This research studied PT XYZ, a company engaged in the palm oil industry which has eleven subsidiaries spread across five provinces in Indonesia, namely North Kalimantan, West Kalimantan, East Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan, and South Sumatra. The research focused on analyzing supply chain risks in PT A, a subsidiary of PT XYZ.. The objective was to find out and reduce unexpected costs that the company may experience caused by the risks in supply chain. Furthermore, the aim was to determine priority of risk agents and risk mitigation actions. The research method was a mixed methods, which combined both qualitative and quantitative analysis to answer the research questions. Data analysis procedure involved Supply Chain Operations Reference (SCOR), House of Risk (HOR) 1 and Analytic Network Process (ANP). The SCOR method was used for mapping supply chain activities, the HOR 1 was to determine the priority of the risk agent, and the ANP was to determine the priority of mitigation actions. The results show that there are 36 risk events and 35 risk agents. 19 risk agents are categorized as priority risks and 11 preventive actions are proposed to be implemented by PT XYZ. The research suggests that the company implement mitigation actions according to priority in accordance with the research results, for example, by improving the condition of the main garden road.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.005
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.010
Threshold uncertainty score0.021

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.005
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0040.004
Science and technology studies0.0020.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.019
GPT teacher head0.292
Teacher spread0.273 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations5
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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