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Record W319829726

Global Economic Downturn Persists

2008· article· en· W319829726 on OpenAlex
Gerhard Fenz, Ingrid Haar-Stöhr, Maria Antoinette Silgoner

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueMonetary Policy & the Economy · 2008
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicGlobal Financial Crisis and Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsReal estateEconomicsRecessionQuarter (Canadian coin)Stimulus (psychology)Financial crisisCommodityGross fixed capital formationMonetary economicsFinancial systemFinanceGross domestic productMacroeconomics
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The global economic downturn is persisting. In the U.S.A., tax rebates provided only a temporary stimulus to the economy. As the U.S. real estate crisis continues, it triggered the takeover of mortgage finance corporations Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by their regulator in early September 2008. The crisis of the U.S. real estate and financial sectors, which has gathered momentum lately, sustained high commodity prices and the deterioration in the labor market are all badly damaging consumer confidence. As a reaction to the most recent aggravation of the financial crisis, the U.S. government announced its plan to establish a well-endowed stabilization fund. As to the euro area, economic growth slowed unexpectedly sharply in the second quarter of 2008. Real GDP contracted by 0.2% quarter on quarter. Particularly, gross fixed capital formation made a negative contribution to growth, but also consumer restraint depressed economic performance. The ECB’s current projections assume only a gradual improvement in the economy.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.673
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.007

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.026
GPT teacher head0.221
Teacher spread0.195 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it