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Record W3200721675 · doi:10.1111/ecog.05651

<i>WiBB</i> : an integrated method for quantifying the relative importance of predictive variables

2021· article· en· W3200721675 on OpenAlexaff
Qin Li, Xiaojun Kou

Bibliographic record

VenueEcography · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicEcology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsResamplingWeightingComputer scienceGeneralized linear modelRegressionLinear discriminant analysisStatisticsLinear regressionData miningArtificial intelligenceMachine learningMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A fundamental goal of scientific research is to identify the underlying variables that govern crucial processes of a system. This is especially difficult in ecology, which is intrinsically rich in candidate predictors. An efficient statistical procedure to evaluate the relative importance of predictors in regression models is highly desirable. However, previous studies criticised the most universally applicable method, by pointing out the low discriminating power of the importance index in simulated datasets. Here we proposed a new index, WiBB , which integrates the merits of several existing methods. WiBB combines a model‐weighting method from information theory ( Wi ), a standardised regression coefficient method measured by β * ( B ), and bootstrap resampling technique ( B ). We applied the WiBB in simulated datasets with known correlation structures, for both linear models (LM) and generalized linear models (GLM), to evaluate its performance. We also applied it to an empirical dataset of a plant genus Mimulus to select bioclimatic predictors of species' presence across the landscape. Results in the simulated datasets showed that the bootstrap resampling technique significantly improved the discriminant ability by correctly sorting the orders of relative importance of predictors. The WiBB method outperformed the β * and the relative sum of weights ( SWi , a standardised version of sum of weights) methods in scenarios with small and large sample sizes, respectively. When testing WiBB in the empirical dataset with GLM, it sensibly identified four important predictors with high credibility out of six candidates in modelling geographical distributions of 71 Mimulus species. This integrated index has great advantages in evaluating predictor importance and hence reducing the dimensionality of data, without losing interpretive power. The simplicity of calculation of the new metric over more sophisticated statistical procedures makes it a handy method in the statistical toolbox.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.010
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.031
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.010
Threshold uncertainty score0.051

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0100.031
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0020.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.002
Bibliometrics0.0060.006
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0020.002
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.290
Teacher spread0.269 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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