Dataset Size Sensitivity Analysis of Machine Learning Classifiers to Differentiate Molecular Markers of Pediatric Low-Grade Gliomas Based on MRI
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Machine learning (ML) approaches can predict BRAF status of pediatric low-grade gliomas (pLGG) on pre-therapeutic brain MRI. The impact of training data sample size and type of ML model is not established. In this bi-institutional retrospective study, 251 pLGG FLAIR MRI datasets from 2 children’s hospitals were included. Radiomics features were extracted from tumor segmentations and five models (Random Forest, XGBoost, Neural Network (NN) 1 (100:20:2), NN2 (50:10:2), NN3 (50:20:10:2)) were tested to classify them. Classifiers were cross-validated on data from institution 1 and validated on data from institution 2. Starting with 10% of the training data, models were cross-validated using a 4-fold approach at every step with an additional 2.25% increase in sample size. Two-hundred-twenty patients (mean age 8.53 ± 4.94 years, 114 males, 67% BRAF fusion) were included in the training dataset, and 31 patients (mean age 7.97±6.20 years, 18 males, 77% BRAF fusion) in the independent test dataset. NN1 (100:20:2) yielded the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). It predicted BRAF status with a mean AUC of 0.85, 95% CI [0.83, 0.87] using 60% of the training data and with mean AUC of 0.83, 95% CI [0.82, 0.84] on the independent validation data set.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.040 | 0.097 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".