Multi-Target Learning Algorithm for Solar Radiation Components Forecasting Based on the Desired Tilt Angle of a Solar Energy System
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Solar radiation components (SRC) forecasting with different tilt angles plays a key role for planning, managing, and controlling the solar energy system production. To overcome the gaps related to the intermittence and to the absence of SRC data, an accurate predictive model needs to be established. The main goal of the present work is to develop for solar system engineers and grid operators a precise predictive approach based on multi-target learning algorithm to forecast the hourly SRC measurements that is related to the city of Marrakesh (latitude 31°37′N, longitude 08°01′W, elevation 466m), Morocco, received by different inclined solar panels’ surfaces. For this purpose, eight training algorithms (Resilient back Propagation (Rp), One step secant (OSS), Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) Algorithm, Fletcher-Reeves algorithm (Cgf), Polak-Ribiere algorithm (Cgp), Powell-Beale algorithm (Cgb), gradient descent (Gd) algorithm and scaled conjugate gradient algorithm (Scg)) are tested to optimize the developed approach’s parameters. The forecasting results were performed based on the angle of inclination desired by the operator and some accessible meteorological measurements that are recorded at each hour, comprising time variables. The achieved performance demonstrates the stability and the accuracy of the established approach to estimate the hourly SRC time series compared to several recent literature studies.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".