Longitudinal surface‐based spatial Bayesian GLM reveals complex trajectories of motor neurodegeneration in ALS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Longitudinal fMRI studies hold great promise for the study of neurodegenerative diseases, development and aging, but realizing their full potential depends on extracting accurate fMRI-based measures of brain function and organization in individual subjects over time. This is especially true for studies of rare, heterogeneous and/or rapidly progressing neurodegenerative diseases. These often involve small samples with heterogeneous functional features, making traditional group-difference analyses of limited utility. One such disease is amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), a severe disease resulting in extreme loss of motor function and eventual death. Here, we use an advanced individualized task fMRI analysis approach to analyze a rich longitudinal dataset containing 190 hand clench fMRI scans from 16 ALS patients (78 scans) and 22 age-matched healthy controls (112 scans). Specifically, we adopt our cortical surface-based spatial Bayesian general linear model (GLM), which has high power and precision to detect activations in individual subjects, and propose a novel longitudinal extension to leverage information shared across visits. We perform all analyses in native surface space to preserve individual anatomical and functional features. Using mixed-effects models to subsequently study the relationship between size of activation and ALS disease progression, we observe for the first time an inverted U-shaped trajectory of motor activations: at relatively mild motor disability we observe enlarging activations, while at higher levels of motor disability we observe severely diminished activation, reflecting progression toward complete loss of motor function. We further observe distinct trajectories depending on clinical progression rate, with faster progressors exhibiting more extreme changes at an earlier stage of disability. These differential trajectories suggest that initial hyper-activation is likely attributable to loss of inhibitory neurons, rather than functional compensation as earlier assumed. These findings substantially advance scientific understanding of the ALS disease process. This study also provides the first real-world example of how surface-based spatial Bayesian analysis of task fMRI can further scientific understanding of neurodegenerative disease and other phenomena. The surface-based spatial Bayesian GLM is implemented in the BayesfMRI R package.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".