Predicting Knee Adduction Moment Response to Gait Retraining with Minimal Clinical Data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Knee osteoarthritis is a progressive disease mediated by high joint loads. Foot progression angle modifications that reduce the knee adduction moment (KAM), a surrogate of knee loading, have demonstrated efficacy in alleviating pain and improving function. Although changes to the foot progression angle are overall beneficial, KAM reductions are not consistent across patients. Moreover, customized interventions are time-consuming and require instrumentation not commonly available in the clinic. We present a model that uses minimal clinical data to predict the extent of first peak KAM reduction after toe-in gait retraining. For such a model to generalize, the training data must be large and variable. Given the lack of large public datasets that contain different gaits for the same patient, we generated this dataset synthetically. Insights learned from ground-truth datasets with both baseline and toe-in gait trials (N=12) enabled the creation of a large (N=138) synthetic dataset for training the predictive model. On a test set of data collected by a separate research group (N=15), the first peak KAM reduction was predicted with a mean absolute error of 0.134% body weight * height (%BW*HT). This error is smaller than the test set’s subject average standard deviation of the first peak during baseline walking (0.306 %BW*HT). This work demonstrates the feasibility of training predictive models with synthetic data and may provide clinicians with a streamlined pathway to identify a patient-specific gait retraining outcome without requiring gait lab instrumentation. Author Summary Gait retraining as a conservative intervention for knee osteoarthritis shows great promise in extending pain-free mobility and preserving joint health. Although customizing a treatment plan for each patient may help to ensure a therapeutic response, this procedure cannot yet be performed outside of the gait laboratory, preventing research advances from becoming a part of clinical practice. Our work aims to predict the extent to which a patient with knee osteoarthritis will benefit from a non-invasive gait retraining therapy using measures that can be easily collected in the clinic. To overcome a lack of normative databases for gait retraining, we generated data synthetically based on limited ground-truth examples, and provided experimental evidence for the model’s ability to generalize to new subjects by evaluating on data collected by a separate research group. Our results can contribute to a future in which predicting the therapeutic benefit of a potential treatment can determine a custom treatment path for any patient.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".