Risk Factors for the Incidence of and the Mortality due to Post-Transplant Lymphoproliferative Disorder after Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Post-transplant lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) is a potentially serious complication that occurs following hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT), in which B cells transformed by Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) proliferate uncontrollably. It is unknown whether risk factors for the incidence of PTLD are identical to those for mortality due to PTLD, a clinically more important outcome. We sought to determine the risk factors influencing the incidence of PTLD and those influencing mortality due to PTLD in a cohort of 1184 allogenic HCT recipients. All patients were predisposed to PTLD, because their graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis included antithymocyte globulin. The overall PTLD incidence was 9.0%, and mortality due to PTLD was 1.1%. In multivariate analysis, risk factors for PTLD incidence include donor+/recipient- (D+/R-) EBV serostatus (subhazard ratio [SHR], 3.3; P = .002), use of a donor other than an HLA-matched sibling donor (non-MSD) (SHR, 1.7; P = .029), receipt of total body irradiation (TBI; SHR, 3.3; P = .008), and the absence of GVHD (SHR, 3.3; P < .001). The sole risk factor for mortality due to PTLD among all patients was D+/R- serostatus (SHR, 5.8; P = .022). Risk factors for mortality due to PTLD among patients who developed PTLD were use of a bone marrow (BM) graft (compared with peripheral blood stem cells [PBSCs]; SHR, 22.8; P < .001) and extralymphatic involvement (SHR, 14.6; P < .001). Interestingly, whereas the absence of GVHD was a risk factor for PTLD incidence, there was a trend toward the presence of GVHD as a risk factor for PTLD mortality (SHR, 4.2; P = .093). Likewise, whereas use of a BM graft was a risk factor for PTLD mortality, there was a trend toward use of a PBSC graft as a risk factor for PTLD incidence (SHR, 0.44; P = .179). Some risk factors for the incidence of PTLD are identical to the risk factors for mortality due to PTLD (ie, D+/R- serostatus), whereas other risk factors are disparate. Specifically, TBI was identified as a risk factor for PTLD incidence but not for PTLD mortality; the absence of GVHD was a risk factor for PTLD incidence, whereas the presence of GVHD was possibly a risk factor for PTLD mortality; and receipt of a PBSC graft was possibly a risk factor for PTLD incidence, whereas receipt of a BM graft was a risk factor for PTLD mortality.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it