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Record W3204489536 · doi:10.5194/tc-2021-211

Evaluating sources of an apparent cold bias in MODIS land surface temperatures in the St. Elias Mountains, Yukon, Canada

2021· article· en· W3204489536 on OpenAlexafffundabout
Ingalise Kindstedt, K. M. Schild, Dominic Winski, K. J. Kreutz, Luke Copland, Seth Campbell, Erin McConnell

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicCryospheric studies and observations
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaMaine Space Grant ConsortiumNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationNational Science Foundation
KeywordsEnvironmental scienceSnowModerate-resolution imaging spectroradiometerEmissivityAdvanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection RadiometerSpectroradiometerClimatologyRemote sensingAtmospheric sciencesBrightness temperatureMeteorologyBrightnessGeologyReflectivityGeographySatellite

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract. Remote sensing data are a crucial tool for monitoring climatological changes and glacier response in areas inaccessible for in situ measurements. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) land surface temperature (LST) product provides temperature data for remote glaciated areas where weather stations are sparse or absent, such as the St. Elias Mountains (Yukon, Canada). However, MODIS LSTs in the St. Elias Mountains have shown a cold bias relative to available weather station measurements, the source of which is unknown. Here, we show that the MODIS cold bias likely results from the occurrence of near-surface temperature inversions rather than from the MODIS sensor’s large footprint size or from poorly constrained snow emissivity values used in LST calculations. We find that a cold bias in remote sensing temperatures is present not only in MODIS LST products, but also in Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emissions Radiometer (ASTER) and Landsat surface temperature products, both of which have a much smaller footprint (90–120 m) than MODIS (1 km). In all three datasets, the cold bias was most pronounced in the winter (mean cold bias > 8 °C), and least pronounced in the spring and summer (mean cold bias < 2 °C). We also find this enhanced seasonal bias in MODIS brightness temperatures, before the incorporation of snow surface emissivity into the LST calculation. Finally, we find the MODIS cold bias to be consistent in magnitude and seasonal distribution with modeled temperature inversions, and to be most pronounced under conditions that facilitate near-surface inversions, namely low incoming solar radiation and wind speeds, at study sites Icefield Divide (60.68° N, 139.78° W, 2,603 m a.s.l) and Eclipse Icefield (60.84° N, 139.84° W, 3,017 m a.s.l.). These results demonstrate that efforts to improve the accuracy of MODIS LSTs should focus on understanding near-surface physical processes rather than refining the MODIS sensor or LST algorithm. In the absence of a physical correction for the cold bias, we apply a statistical correction, enabling the use of mean annual MODIS LSTs to qualitatively and quantitatively examine temperatures in the St. Elias Mountains and their relationship to melt and mass balance.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.012
Threshold uncertainty score0.089

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.064
GPT teacher head0.278
Teacher spread0.213 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2021
Admission routes3
Has abstractyes

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