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A Comparison of Novel Representations for Evolving Epidemic Networks

2021· article· en· W3205806023 on OpenAlexaff
Daniel Ashlock, Michael P. Dubé

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicComplex Network Analysis Techniques
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Guelph
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAdjacency matrixAperiodic graphRepresentation (politics)Computer scienceString (physics)Theoretical computer scienceAdjacency listGenerator (circuit theory)AlgorithmMathematicsGraphCombinatorics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Recent work in representation has developed small, evolvable structures called a complex string generator that generate infinite, aperiodic strings of characters. Such a string can be sectioned to provide an arbitrary list of parameters of indefinite length. Other work in evolving networks to model disease transmission has an issue common in many high-dimensional problems, evolution is less efficient when it must get a large number of parameter values correct. Specifying many parameters with a small evolvable object is a potential solution to this problem. In this study we compare three different implementations of representations, two of which employ complex string generators, to specify social contact graphs that plausibly explain the pattern of infection in a small epidemic. Representations that edit a starting network are found to have results that clump in network space while evolving the adjacency matrix provides increased diversity: none of the representations overlap in their results. The adjacency matrix based representation also generated outliers that outperform a baseline representation, probably because of its enhance diversity of solutions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.912
Threshold uncertainty score0.618

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.064
GPT teacher head0.401
Teacher spread0.337 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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