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A Comparison of Novel Representations for Evolving Epidemic Networks

2021· article· en· W3205806023 on OpenAlexaff
Daniel Ashlock, Michael P. Dubé

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicComplex Network Analysis Techniques
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Guelph
Fundersnot available
KeywordsAdjacency matrixAperiodic graphRepresentation (politics)Computer scienceString (physics)Theoretical computer scienceAdjacency listGenerator (circuit theory)AlgorithmMathematicsGraphCombinatorics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Recent work in representation has developed small, evolvable structures called a complex string generator that generate infinite, aperiodic strings of characters. Such a string can be sectioned to provide an arbitrary list of parameters of indefinite length. Other work in evolving networks to model disease transmission has an issue common in many high-dimensional problems, evolution is less efficient when it must get a large number of parameter values correct. Specifying many parameters with a small evolvable object is a potential solution to this problem. In this study we compare three different implementations of representations, two of which employ complex string generators, to specify social contact graphs that plausibly explain the pattern of infection in a small epidemic. Representations that edit a starting network are found to have results that clump in network space while evolving the adjacency matrix provides increased diversity: none of the representations overlap in their results. The adjacency matrix based representation also generated outliers that outperform a baseline representation, probably because of its enhance diversity of solutions.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.012
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.004
Threshold uncertainty score0.012

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.012
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.003
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.064
GPT teacher head0.401
Teacher spread0.337 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations10
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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