Multi‐year drought alters plant species composition more than productivity across northern temperate grasslands
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract The occurrence of multi‐year drought is predicted to increase globally with climate change. However, it is unclear whether drought effects on ecosystems are progressive through time. Here, we experimentally reduced growing season precipitation (GSP) by 45% at seven North American temperate grasslands for four consecutive years to determine the following: (a) whether the effects of reduced precipitation on plant community structure and biomass components (shoot, root, litter) are compounding over time; (b) whether prior year climatic and soil conditions influence subsequent drought impacts on plant community structure and biomass components; and (c) whether the effects of reduced precipitation on individual ecosystem components are related to one another. Across the seven field sites, we observed neither consistent nor progressive effects of reduced precipitation on any biomass component during the experiment, despite having extreme drought conditions imposed for four consecutive years. Relative to the ambient treatment, above‐ground net primary productivity (ANPP) declined in response to drought during the early years of the experiment but increased above the ambient treatment in the fourth year, while root and litter biomass were stable across the sites throughout the study. Similarly, graminoid cover decreased initially but recovered by the final year of the experiment, contributing to observed differences in species composition between treatments across sites. Compositional changes were not associated with any declines in species richness or evenness. Divergent responses among years were not driven by lag effects based on prior year climatic and soil conditions. Furthermore, precipitation effects on ecosystem components were largely independent as we found only two positive links: between ANPP and plant species richness, and between species evenness and composition. Synthesis . Overall, our results suggest that these northern grasslands are relatively resistant to short‐term multi‐year drought in the context of supporting plant diversity and biomass production.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".