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Record W3206620153 · doi:10.1002/essoar.10508403.1

Sun superflaring mechanism from decade-scale magnetic entanglement with Jupiter

2021· preprint· en· W3206620153 on OpenAlexfundno aff
Mensur Omerbashich

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicStellar, planetary, and galactic studies
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersStanford Bio-XGoddard Space Flight CenterYork UniversityNational Aeronautics and Space Administration
KeywordsPhysicsHot JupiterJupiter (rocket family)AstronomySolar windInterplanetary magnetic fieldAstrophysicsPlanetMagnetic fieldExoplanet

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Sun–Jupiter decade-scale magnetic entanglement emerges from Wilcox Solar Observatory 1975-2021 N–S ≲150 μT mean-field data, as a global response of solar magnetic fields to the magnetar-type evolution of Jupiter ~2001–onward global magnetoactivity discovered recently in the 1–6 month (385.8–64.3 nHz) band of Rieger resonance. At extreme ≲20% field variance, the sudden Jovian deviation is so high it forced solar magnetoactivity devolution into inverse-matching response, at effectively moderate ≲1.5% mean-field variance. Thus as Jupiter magnetoactivity evolved sinusoidally, the Sun began mirror-compensating ~2002 (the epoch of Abbe number drop), reducing its magnetoactivity in decreasingly sinusoidal fashion to solar cycle 24 extreme minimum. For check, 2004-2021 WIND mission data revealed <0.5-var% (<5-dB) calm ≲50 nT interplanetary magnetic field at L1, slightly undulated by the Jupiter evolution impulse, thus excluding solar wind and Sun as impulse sources (confirmed by statistical fidelity waning down Jupiter–L1–Sun diffusion vector spaces, as 10^7–10^3–10^2). Magnetic tangling of stars and hot (<0.1 AU) Jupiters was blamed previously for observed star superflaring 10^2–10^7 times more energetic than the strongest solar flare. Accordingly, the Sun ante-impulse locking is a shock-absorbing mechanism — routine shutter-response to Jupiter recurrent phasing into the flare-brown-dwarf state — with which the Sun enters a grand minimum (sleep mode). As Jupiter intermittently becomes an indirect driver of Earth’s climate, the Sun prepares to discharge stored energy as a non-extinction ~10^32-erg superflare (currently overdue). The mechanism, in which warm/cold Jupiters too trigger (mild) superflares, possibly defends stars against incoming Jupiters.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.002
Threshold uncertainty score0.008

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.011
GPT teacher head0.210
Teacher spread0.199 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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