A novel multi-biomarker combination predicting relapse from long-term remission after discontinuation of biological drugs in rheumatoid arthritis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Biological disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) show dramatic treatment efficacy in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Long-term use of bDMARDs, however, has disadvantages such as high costs and infection risk. Therefore, a methodology is needed to predict any future RA relapse. Herein, we report a novel multi-biomarker combination which predicts relapse after bDMARDs-withdrawal in patients in remission. Forty patients with RA in remission for more than 12 months were enrolled. bDMARDs were withdrawn and they were followed monthly for the next 24 months. Fourteen patients (35%) of 40 in the cohort remained in remission at 24 months, whereas 26 (65%) relapsed at various time-points. Serum samples obtained longitudinally from patients in remission were assessed for the relapse-prediction biomarkers and index from 73 cytokines by the exploratory multivariate ROC analysis. The relapse-prediction index calculated from the 5 cytokines, IL-34, CCL1, IL-1β, IL-2 and IL-19, strongly discriminated between patients who relapsed and those who stayed in remission. These findings could contribute to clinical decision-making as to the timing of when to discontinue bDMARDs in RA treatment.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".