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Record W3207567218

Bangladesh To Be Developed Nation By 2041: What Will Be Being Lacking and What Needs to Be Done?

2021· article· en· W3207567218 on OpenAlexaff
Abul Quasem Al‐Amin

Bibliographic record

VenueSSRN Electronic Journal · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic, financial, and policy analysis
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGovernment (linguistics)PrestigePer capita incomePacePopulationDeclarationOrder (exchange)Economic growthDevelopment economicsEconomicsPolitical scienceDemographic economicsGeographySociologyLawFinanceDemography
DOInot available

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Bangladesh to be a developed nation by 2041 following the present government’s declaration and the pace of growth suggests that it may be possible. The government's motto of being a middle-income country by 2021 has earned it a lot of prestige, but it's losing it now by implying that we'll be a developed nation by 2041. To explain the goal line of 2041, we need a lot of ifs and buts, which turns a noble dream into an idea. Based on current figures and projections, it would take another sixteen years to hit the amount of per capita income of USD 4,036. Even in 2031, we will be an upper-middle-income nation if we can boost both GDP growth and birth control. Simple math shows that if we want to become a developed country by 2041, we'll need to increase our per capita income by at least 9% consistently. That number would necessitate an average annual GDP growth rate of 10% for the next 24 years, assuming a 1% population growth rate from 2021. The regime must be optimistic in order to express expectations to the public, but these estimates could be unlikely, even though we believe that our infrastructure and institutions will change dramatically. As a result, while the motto of becoming a developed country should continue to motivate the nation to strive for greater heights, the year could be changed to 2054 or 2051 or 2060 which we do not to be. Thus, this study discusses in detail what will be being lacking and what needs to be done in reality to become a developed country by 2041. Without a doubt, our GDP growth has been marginally increasing in recent years, but the rate of increase in GDP growth is showing a slightly decreasing trend, necessitating urgent attention to fix institutional deficiencies first. It will be difficult to achieve the goal of becoming an upper-middle-income nation by 2031 if this does not happen. Reducing population growth to as close to zero per cent as possible is the most realistic way to achieve our dream. This study locates all those related parameters realistically and will be useful for policymakers to consider our recommendations on fiscal and monetary policy, budget, planning, and governance for Bangladesh.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Scholarly communication
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.793
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.003
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.025
GPT teacher head0.234
Teacher spread0.209 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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