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Record W3209247278 · doi:10.1002/rth2.12599

External qualification of the Web‐Accessible Population Pharmacokinetic Service–Hemophilia (WAPPS‐Hemo) models for octocog alfa using real patient data

2021· article· en· W3209247278 on OpenAlexaff
Pierre Chelle, Dagmar M. Hajducek, Alfonso Iorio, Josh D. Silvertown, Andrea N. Edginton

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch and Practice in Thrombosis and Haemostasis · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicHemophilia Treatment and Research
Canadian institutionsImpactBayer (Canada)McMaster UniversityUniversity of Waterloo
FundersBayer HealthCare
KeywordsStatisticsPopulationSampling (signal processing)Bayesian probabilityData setSample size determinationConsistency (knowledge bases)Sample (material)Cross-validationMathematicsMedicineData miningEconometricsComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceChemistry

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

BACKGROUND: Existing adult patient pharmacokinetic (PK) data from the published Advate vs Kovaltry PK crossover study were used for this validation study. This data set is appropriate for qualification, given that it has not been previously submitted to Web-Accessible Population Pharmacokinetic Service-Hemophilia (WAPPS-Hemo) and will not have impacted the WAPPS-Hemo models for Kovaltry. OBJECTIVE: To compare the population PK parameters for Kovaltry (BAY 81-8973) derived from the WAPPS-Hemo models with PK parameters derived from noncompartmental analysis (NCA), using a validation PK dataset. METHODS: The qualification data set included Kovaltry factor activity (10 samples per infusion) and anthropometric data for 18 patients. Two analyses were performed comparison of Bayesian forecasting from the WAPPS-Hemo models versus NCA using the full 10-sample data set; and comparison of Bayesian forecasting using the full versus reduced 4- and 3-sample data sets. Agreement between outcomes was assessed by quantifying the variability and bias of the error. RESULTS: Comparison of WAPPS-Hemo models versus NCA led to well-correlated outcomes despite a systematic overprediction of clearance. Population PK models demonstrated greater consistency with NCA on one-stage data, compared with chromogenic data. WAPPS-Hemo model results were consistent in reduced sampling compared to full sampling. Inclusion of a 48-hour time point in the reduced sampling greatly improved the consistency with full sampling. DISCUSSION: Qualification of population PK models and their use for Bayesian forecasting in full and reduced sampling is an essential step toward their validation. The evaluations performed in this study support the confidence of PK parameter estimates provided by the models.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.015
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.032
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.015
Threshold uncertainty score0.077

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0150.032
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.501
GPT teacher head0.538
Teacher spread0.037 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations3
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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