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Record W3211083802 · doi:10.1016/s2666-7568(21)00257-9

Dementia prevention needs funding

2021· letter· en· W3211083802 on OpenAlexaff
Larry W. Chambers, Charles Alessi, Muir Gray

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Lancet Healthy Longevity · 2021
Typeletter
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicDementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
Canadian institutionsWestern UniversityLondon Health Sciences CentreMcMaster UniversityImpact
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDementiaMedicineBusinessPsychologyInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The US Food and Drug Administration approval of aducanumab1Alexander GC Knopman DS Emerson SS et al.Revisiting FDA approval of aducanumab.N Engl J Med. 2021; 385: 769-771Crossref PubMed Scopus (54) Google Scholar highlights the disconnect between evidence and our response to population ageing and the associated increase of people who are at high risk of dementia.The approval of aducanumab heightens discussion about what constitutes necessary and sufficient evidence around the licensing of novel therapeutic interventions, particularly with regard to the selection of surrogate endpoints.Studies of aducanumab show reductions in amyloid, which can be a sufficient condition for approving the drug. However, it is not a necessary condition because there are other outcomes that should be measured in trials of aducanumab for dementia treatment. For example, if aducanumab does not reduce amyloid, it could still have an effect on behavioural outcomes such as ability to manage financial affairs, maintain self-care and personal hygiene, clean living space, and drive.2Committee on the Public Health Dimensions of Cognitive AgingBoard on Health Sciences PolicyInstitute of MedicineCognitive aging: progress in understanding and opportunities for action. National Academies Press, Washington, DC2015Google ScholarDementia risk reduction in the general population is largely ignored and programmes are not deployed globally despite there being robust and unequivocal evidence for delaying or preventing dementia.The certainty of the evidence regarding the effects of dementia prevention3Livingston G Huntley J Sommerlad A et al.Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the Lancet Commission.Lancet. 2020; 396: 413-446Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1799) Google Scholar, 4Anstey KJ Ee N Eramudugolla R A systematic review of meta-analyses that evaluate risk factors for dementia to evaluate the quantity, quality, and global representativeness of evidence.J Alzheimers Dis. 2019; 70: S165-S186Crossref PubMed Scopus (53) Google Scholar is much greater than the effect of dementia treatment.5Fink HA Linskens EJ MacDonald R et al.Benefits and harms of prescription drugs and supplements for treatment of clinical Alzheimer-type dementia.Ann Intern Med. 2020; 172: 656-668Crossref PubMed Scopus (28) Google Scholar Systematic reviews on the treatment of dementia with anti-amyloid drugs have shown borderline (4% absolute risk reduction)5Fink HA Linskens EJ MacDonald R et al.Benefits and harms of prescription drugs and supplements for treatment of clinical Alzheimer-type dementia.Ann Intern Med. 2020; 172: 656-668Crossref PubMed Scopus (28) Google Scholar or no absolute effects and the use of amount of amyloid in the brain as the main outcome used in these trials is questionable.By contrast, systematic reviews about dementia prevention are more precise, showing absolute positive effects (40% absolute risk reduction)3Livingston G Huntley J Sommerlad A et al.Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the Lancet Commission.Lancet. 2020; 396: 413-446Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1799) Google Scholar on three outcomes. First, protecting the brain from harmful effects due to situations such as poor sleep, stress, and prescribed and self-prescribed drugs. Second, keeping oxygen supply flowing to the brain. Finally, keeping engaged and positive, continuing to socialise, find new challenges, and resist negative thoughts of inevitable decline.Governmental and non-governmental organisations should focus on the evidence and highlight simple but effective lifestyle changes that anyone can make. Everyone can take positive action to increase their so-called brainability. The Lancet Commission on dementia prevention, intervention, and care3Livingston G Huntley J Sommerlad A et al.Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the Lancet Commission.Lancet. 2020; 396: 413-446Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1799) Google Scholar is important and can be used to inform action policies. The US Food and Drug Administration approval of aducanumab1Alexander GC Knopman DS Emerson SS et al.Revisiting FDA approval of aducanumab.N Engl J Med. 2021; 385: 769-771Crossref PubMed Scopus (54) Google Scholar highlights the disconnect between evidence and our response to population ageing and the associated increase of people who are at high risk of dementia. The approval of aducanumab heightens discussion about what constitutes necessary and sufficient evidence around the licensing of novel therapeutic interventions, particularly with regard to the selection of surrogate endpoints. Studies of aducanumab show reductions in amyloid, which can be a sufficient condition for approving the drug. However, it is not a necessary condition because there are other outcomes that should be measured in trials of aducanumab for dementia treatment. For example, if aducanumab does not reduce amyloid, it could still have an effect on behavioural outcomes such as ability to manage financial affairs, maintain self-care and personal hygiene, clean living space, and drive.2Committee on the Public Health Dimensions of Cognitive AgingBoard on Health Sciences PolicyInstitute of MedicineCognitive aging: progress in understanding and opportunities for action. National Academies Press, Washington, DC2015Google Scholar Dementia risk reduction in the general population is largely ignored and programmes are not deployed globally despite there being robust and unequivocal evidence for delaying or preventing dementia. The certainty of the evidence regarding the effects of dementia prevention3Livingston G Huntley J Sommerlad A et al.Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the Lancet Commission.Lancet. 2020; 396: 413-446Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1799) Google Scholar, 4Anstey KJ Ee N Eramudugolla R A systematic review of meta-analyses that evaluate risk factors for dementia to evaluate the quantity, quality, and global representativeness of evidence.J Alzheimers Dis. 2019; 70: S165-S186Crossref PubMed Scopus (53) Google Scholar is much greater than the effect of dementia treatment.5Fink HA Linskens EJ MacDonald R et al.Benefits and harms of prescription drugs and supplements for treatment of clinical Alzheimer-type dementia.Ann Intern Med. 2020; 172: 656-668Crossref PubMed Scopus (28) Google Scholar Systematic reviews on the treatment of dementia with anti-amyloid drugs have shown borderline (4% absolute risk reduction)5Fink HA Linskens EJ MacDonald R et al.Benefits and harms of prescription drugs and supplements for treatment of clinical Alzheimer-type dementia.Ann Intern Med. 2020; 172: 656-668Crossref PubMed Scopus (28) Google Scholar or no absolute effects and the use of amount of amyloid in the brain as the main outcome used in these trials is questionable. By contrast, systematic reviews about dementia prevention are more precise, showing absolute positive effects (40% absolute risk reduction)3Livingston G Huntley J Sommerlad A et al.Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the Lancet Commission.Lancet. 2020; 396: 413-446Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1799) Google Scholar on three outcomes. First, protecting the brain from harmful effects due to situations such as poor sleep, stress, and prescribed and self-prescribed drugs. Second, keeping oxygen supply flowing to the brain. Finally, keeping engaged and positive, continuing to socialise, find new challenges, and resist negative thoughts of inevitable decline. Governmental and non-governmental organisations should focus on the evidence and highlight simple but effective lifestyle changes that anyone can make. Everyone can take positive action to increase their so-called brainability. The Lancet Commission on dementia prevention, intervention, and care3Livingston G Huntley J Sommerlad A et al.Dementia prevention, intervention, and care: 2020 report of the Lancet Commission.Lancet. 2020; 396: 413-446Summary Full Text Full Text PDF PubMed Scopus (1799) Google Scholar is important and can be used to inform action policies. We declare no competing interests.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesResearch integrity, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Commentary · Consensus signal: Commentary
Teacher disagreement score0.035
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.120
GPT teacher head0.391
Teacher spread0.271 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreCommentary

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations1
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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