A Novel Hybrid Neural Network-Based Day-Ahead Wind Speed Forecasting Technique
Bibliographic record
Abstract
As a dominant form of renewable energy sources with significant technical progress over the past decades, wind power is increasingly integrated into power grids. Wind is chaotic, random and irregular. For proper planning and operation of power systems with high wind power penetration, accurate wind speed forecasting is essential. In this paper, a novel hybrid Neural Network (NN)-based day-ahead (24 hour horizon) wind speed forecasting is proposed, where five hybrid neural network algorithms are evaluated. The five algorithms include Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) trained by Improved Clonal Selection Algorithm (ICSA), WNN trained by Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Extreme Learning Machine (ELM)-based neural network, Radial Basis Function (RBF) neural network, and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) Neural Network. Single- and multi-features and their effect on the accuracy of wind speed prediction are also analyzed. The wind speed dataset used in this paper is Saskatchewan’s recorded historical wind speed data. Despite the excellent wind power potential, only 6.5% of the total electricity demand is currently supplied by wind power in Saskatchewan, Canada. This study paves the way for economical operation, planning, and optimization of Saskatchewan’s future wind power generation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".