Association of a Total Cholesterol Polygenic Score with Cholesterol Levels and Pathological Biomarkers across the Alzheimer’s Disease Spectrum
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Midlife hypercholesterolemia is a well-known risk factor for sporadic Alzheimer’s disease (AD), and like AD, it is highly influenced by genetics with heritability estimates of 32–63%. We thus hypothesized that genetics underlying peripheral blood total cholesterol (TC) levels could influence the risk of developing AD. We created a weighted polygenic score (TC-PGS) using summary data from a meta-analysis of TC genome-wide association studies for evaluation in three independent AD-related cohorts spanning pre-clinical, clinical, and pathophysiologically proved AD. APOE-ε4 variant was purposely included in the analysis as it represents an already well-established genetic risk factor for both AD and circulating TC. We could vastly improve the performance of the score when considering p-value thresholds for inclusion in the score, sex, and statin use. This optimized score (p-value threshold of 1 × 10−6 for inclusion in the score) explained 18.2% of the variance in TC levels in statin free females compared to 6.9% in the entire sample and improved prediction of hypercholesterolemia (receiver operator characteristics analysis revealed area under the curve increase from 70.8% to 80.5%). The TC-PGS was further evaluated for association with AD risk and pathology. We found no association between the TC-PGS and either of the AD hallmark pathologies, assessed by cerebrospinal fluid levels of Aβ-42, p-Tau, and t-Tau, and 18F-NAV4694 and 18F-AV-1451 positron emission tomography. Similarly, we found no association with the risk of developing amyloid pathology or becoming cognitively impaired in individuals with amyloid pathology.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".