The Effect of Atrasentan on Kidney and Heart Failure Outcomes by Baseline Albuminuria and Kidney Function
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background and objectives Atrasentan reduces the risk of kidney failure but increases the risk of edema and, possibly, heart failure. Patients with severe CKD may obtain greater absolute kidney benefits from atrasentan but may also be at higher risk of heart failure. We assessed relative and absolute effects of atrasentan on kidney and heart failure events according to baseline eGFR and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) in a post hoc analysis of the Study of Diabetic Nephropathy with Atrasentan (SONAR) trial. Design, setting, participants, & measurements The effect of atrasentan versus placebo in 3668 patients with type 2 diabetes and CKD with elevated albuminuria was examined in the SONAR trial. We used Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to study effects on the primary kidney outcome (composite of doubling of serum creatinine, kidney failure, or kidney death) and heart failure hospitalization across subgroups of eGFR (<30, ≥30–45, and ≥45 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 ) and UACR (<1000, ≥1000–3000, and ≥3000 mg/g). Results Atrasentan reduced the relative risk of the primary kidney outcome (hazard ratio, 0.71; 95% confidence interval, 0.58 to 0.88) consistently across all subgroups of baseline eGFR and UACR (all P interaction >0.21). Patients in the highest UACR and lowest eGFR subgroups, in whom rates of the primary kidney outcome were highest, showed the largest absolute benefit (all P interaction <0.01). The risk of heart failure hospitalization was higher in the atrasentan group (hazard ratio, 1.39; 95% confidence interval, 0.97 to 1.99) and was consistent across subgroups, with no evidence that relative or absolute risks differed across eGFR or UACR subgroups (all P interaction >0.09). Conclusions Atrasentan reduced the relative risk of the primary kidney outcome consistently across baseline UACR and eGFR subgroups. The absolute risk reduction was greater among patients in the lowest eGFR and highest albuminuria category who were at highest baseline risk. Conversely, the relative and absolute risks of heart failure hospitalization were similar across baseline UACR and eGFR subgroups. Clinical Trial registry name and registration number: Study of Diabetic Nephropathy with Atrasentan (SONAR), NCT01858532
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".