The effect of neoliberalism on the proliferation of pre-election polls in the Canadian media
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Poll-based, horserace reporting by the news media during election campaigns has been shown to: influence voting intention and support for candidates; reduce the amount of substantial information provided by the media; contribute to citizens’ political apathy; and contribute to the debasement of political communication. Also, in recent times, the polling industry in Canada and other Western countries has faced major challenges which culminated in the failure of polls. The primary purpose of this study is to demonstrate, through a longitudinal content analysis of Canada’s national newspaper’s election reportage, how the Canadian media’s use of pre-elections polls has increased in the neoliberal era. It then goes on to consider why criticisms of polls and problems of the polling industry have apparently not affected the media’s use of polls. Here, a Critical Political Economy approach is used to argue that the cause is commercialization of the media.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.039 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.006 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.009 | 0.008 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.007 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.006 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".