Generation of Synthetic Ampacity and Electricity Pool Prices using Generative Adversarial Networks
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This work explores the generation of synthetic time-series of dynamic thermal line rating data and Alberta Electric System Operator's hourly pool price data using Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Networks, as part of a larger study on transmission line reliability. The generation of synthetic data is required due to a limited size of the available dataset. Synthetic data can aid in training deep learning and reinforcement learning models. The data is generated for 100 time-steps and is evaluated using quantitative metrics and qualitative assessment methods. Results show that the maximum mean discrepancy loss stabilizes and the trained Wasserstein generative adversarial network is able to reproduce the desired frequency distributions as well as produce a good overlap in the principal component analysis decomposition between the real and synthetic data. The final inspection of the produced synthetic data on both datasets is satisfactory.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".