Modeling Transit Bus Emissions using MOVES: Validation of Default Distributions and Embedded Drive Cycles with Local Data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This study focuses on the validation of operating mode distributions and other assumptions used in the estimation of transit bus emissions with the Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES). For this purpose, instantaneous speeds and passenger ridership data were collected on-board a total of 96 buses during the summer and fall 2013. The authors' data collection campaign covered eight bus routes in the city of Montreal, Canada. The selected routes serve a range of corridor types capturing the variability in land use, road geometry, traffic flow, bus type, and transit service. Ultimately, the authors analyzed data from 3,702 road segments (606.18 miles) with bus transit service. The authors observed significant differences between locally derived operating mode distributions and MOVES default distributions for the same average speeds. At low average speeds, the MOVES distributions assume a significantly larger portion of idling than obtained from local data. The authors also investigated the drive cycle characteristics of different bus types and observed differences between standard and articulated buses, which are currently unaccounted for by MOVES. The authors' findings illustrate the importance of collecting local bus data when estimating transit bus emissions.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".