Predictive Analytics to Support Health Informatics on COVID-19 Data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Bioinformatics and health informatics-in conjection with data science, data mining and machine learning-have been applied in numerous real-life applications including disease and healthcare analytics, such as predictive analytics of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Many of these existing works usually require large volumes of data train the classification and prediction models. However, these data (e.g., computed tomography (CT) scan images, viral/molecular test results) that can be expensive to produce and/or not easily accessible. For instance, partially due to privacy concerns and other factors, the volume of available disease data can be limited. Hence, in this paper, we present a predictive analytics system to support health analytics. Specifically, the system make good use of autoencoder and few-shot learning to train the prediction model with only a few samples of more accessible and less expensive types of data (e.g., serology/antibody test results from blood samples), which helps to support prediction on classification of potential patients (e.g., potential COVID-19 patients). Moreover, the system also provides users (e.g., healthcare providers) with predictions on hospitalization status and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 patients. This provides healthcare administrators and staff with a good estimate on the demand for healthcare support. With this system, users could then focus and provide timely treatment to the true patients, thus preventing them for spreading the disease in the community. The system is helpful, especially for rural areas, when sophisticated equipment (e.g., CT scanners) may be unavailable. Evaluation results on a real-life datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our digital health system in health analytics, especially in classifying patients and their medical needs.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".