Propagation and arrest of the May 2021 lateral dike intrusion at Nyiragongo (D.R. Congo)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
On the 22 nd of May 2021, although no alarming precursory unrest had been reported, Nyiragongo volcano erupted and lava flows threatened about 1 million of inhabitants living in the cities of Goma (Democratic Republic of Congo) and Giseny (Rwanda). After January 1977 and January 2002, it was the beginning of the third historically known flank eruption of Nyiragongo volcano and the first ever to be recorded by dense measurements both on the ground and from space. In the following days, seismic and geodetic data as well as fracture mapping revealed the gradual southward propagation of a shallow dike from the Nyiragongo edifice underlying below Goma airport on May 23-24, then Goma and Gisenyi city centers on May 25-26 and finally below the northern part of Lake Kivu on May 27. Southward migration of the associated seismic swarm slowed down between May 27 and June 02. Micro seismicity became more diffuse, progressively activating transverse tectonic structures previously identified in the whole Lake Kivu basin. Here we exploit ground based and remote sensing data as well as inversion and physics-based models to fully characterize the dike sized, the dynamics of dike propagation and its arrest against a structural lineament known as the Nyabihu Fault. This work highlights the shallow origin of the dike, the segmented dike propagation controlled by the interaction with pre-existing fracture networks and the incremental crater collapse associated with drainage which led to the disappearance of the world’s largest long-living lava lake on top of Nyiragongo.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.007 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".