Machine-learning–based exploration to identify remodeling patterns associated with death or heart-transplant in pediatric-dilated cardiomyopathy
Bibliographic record
Abstract
AimsWe investigated left ventricular (LV) remodeling, mechanics, systolic and diastolic function, combined with clinical characteristics and heart-failure treatment in association to death or heart-transplant (DoT) in pediatric idiopathic, genetic or familial dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), using interpretable machine-learning.Methods and resultsEchocardiographic and clinical data from pediatric DCM and healthy controls were retrospectively analyzed. Machine-learning included whole cardiac-cycle regional longitudinal strain, aortic, mitral and pulmonary vein Doppler velocity traces, age and body surface area. We used unsupervised multiple kernel learning for data dimensionality reduction, positioning patients based on complex conglomerate information similarity. Subsequently, k-means identified groups with similar phenotypes. The proportion experiencing DoT was evaluated. Pheno-grouping identified 5 clinically distinct groups that were associated with differing proportions of DoT. All healthy controls clustered in groups 1 to 2, while all, but one, DCM subjects, clustered in groups 3 to 5; internally validating the algorithm. Cluster-5 comprised the oldest, most medicated patients, with combined systolic and diastolic heart-failure and highest proportion of DoT. Cluster-4 included the youngest patients characterized by severe LV remodeling and systolic dysfunction, but mild diastolic dysfunction and the second-highest proportion of DoT. Cluster-3 comprised young patients with moderate remodeling and systolic dysfunction, preserved apical strain, pronounced diastolic dysfunction and lowest proportion of DoT.ConclusionsInterpretable machine-learning, using full cardiac-cycle systolic and diastolic data, mechanics and clinical parameters, can potentially identify pediatric DCM patients at high-risk for DoT, and delineate mechanisms associated with risk. This may facilitate more precise prognostication and treatment of pediatric DCM. We investigated left ventricular (LV) remodeling, mechanics, systolic and diastolic function, combined with clinical characteristics and heart-failure treatment in association to death or heart-transplant (DoT) in pediatric idiopathic, genetic or familial dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), using interpretable machine-learning. Echocardiographic and clinical data from pediatric DCM and healthy controls were retrospectively analyzed. Machine-learning included whole cardiac-cycle regional longitudinal strain, aortic, mitral and pulmonary vein Doppler velocity traces, age and body surface area. We used unsupervised multiple kernel learning for data dimensionality reduction, positioning patients based on complex conglomerate information similarity. Subsequently, k-means identified groups with similar phenotypes. The proportion experiencing DoT was evaluated. Pheno-grouping identified 5 clinically distinct groups that were associated with differing proportions of DoT. All healthy controls clustered in groups 1 to 2, while all, but one, DCM subjects, clustered in groups 3 to 5; internally validating the algorithm. Cluster-5 comprised the oldest, most medicated patients, with combined systolic and diastolic heart-failure and highest proportion of DoT. Cluster-4 included the youngest patients characterized by severe LV remodeling and systolic dysfunction, but mild diastolic dysfunction and the second-highest proportion of DoT. Cluster-3 comprised young patients with moderate remodeling and systolic dysfunction, preserved apical strain, pronounced diastolic dysfunction and lowest proportion of DoT. Interpretable machine-learning, using full cardiac-cycle systolic and diastolic data, mechanics and clinical parameters, can potentially identify pediatric DCM patients at high-risk for DoT, and delineate mechanisms associated with risk. This may facilitate more precise prognostication and treatment of pediatric DCM.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".