Inflammatory markers, brain-derived neurotrophic factor, and the symptomatic course of adolescent bipolar disorder: A prospective repeated-measures study
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have found elevated pro-inflammatory markers and reduced brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) during symptomatic episodes of bipolar disorder (BD) in adults. There is a paucity of research examining these markers in youth with BD, or longitudinally in any BD age group. METHODS: 79 adolescents, ages 13-19 years, were enrolled, including 43 symptomatic adolescents with BD and 36 age-matched healthy controls (HC). Blood samples were collected from all participants at intake, and repeatedly from BD participants at pre-specified intervals over the course of two years. Serum was assayed for levels of pro-inflammatory markers (c-reactive protein [CRP], interleukin [IL]-6, tumor necrosis factor alpha [TNF-α]), BDNF and the anti-inflammatory marker, IL-10. Week-by-week severity of mood symptoms was assessed using semi-structured interviews. RESULTS: Adolescents with BD provided an average of 4.6 blood samples, on average every 5.0 months. During the most severe symptomatic interval (i.e., highest sum of mood symptom scores) among BD adolescents, levels of CRP (p = 0.01) and pro- to anti-inflammatory ratios (CRP/IL-10; p < 0.001 and IL-6/IL-10; p = 0.046) were significantly greater, and IL-10 levels (p = 0.004) were significantly lower, vs. HC. There were no differences between BD and HC in IL-6, TNF-α or BDNF. Within BD participants, higher BDNF (p = 0.01) and IL-10 levels (p = 0.001) significantly predicted greater burden of mood symptoms over the subsequent epoch. Moreover, higher CRP levels (p = 0.009) at intake predicted greater time to recovery from the index symptomatic episode. CONCLUSIONS: In the first repeated-measures study on this topic in adolescents with BD, we found evidence that CRP, an inexpensive and ubiquitous blood test, may be useful in predicting the prospective course of BD symptoms. Future larger studies are warranted.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it