Evaluation of Repeated Web-Based Screening for Predicting Postpartum Depression: Prospective Cohort Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Postpartum depression (PPD) is a severe mental disorder that often results in poor maternal-infant attachment and negatively impacts infant development. Universal screening has recently been recommended to identify women at risk, but the optimal screening time during pregnancy has not been defined so far. Thus, web-based technologies with widespread use among women of childbearing age create new opportunities to detect pregnancies with a high risk for adverse mental health outcomes at an early stage. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to stratify the risk for PPD and to determine the optimal screening time during pregnancy by using a web-based screening tool collecting electronic patient-reported outcomes (ePROs) as the basis for a screening algorithm. METHODS: In total, 214 women were repeatedly tested for depressive symptoms 5 times during and 3 times after pregnancy by using the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS), accessible on a web-based pregnancy platform, developed by the authors of this study. For each prenatal assessment, the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values for PPD were calculated. Multivariate logistic regression analyses were applied to identify further potential predictors, such as age, education, parity, relationship quality, and anxiety, to increase predictive accuracy. RESULTS: Digitally collected data from 214 pregnant women were analyzed. The predictive accuracy of depressive symptoms 3 and 6 months postpartum was reasonable to good regarding the screening in the second (AUC=0.85) and third (AUC=0.75) trimester. The multivariate logistic regression analyses resulted in an excellent AUC of 0.93 at 3 months and a good AUC of 0.87 at 6 months postpartum. CONCLUSIONS: The best predictive accuracy for PPD has been shown for screening between the 24th and the 28th gestational week (GW) and seems to be beneficial for identifying women at risk. In combination with the aforementioned predictive factors, the discriminatory power improved, particularly at 3 months postpartum. Screening for depression during pregnancy, combined with the women's personal risk profile, can be used as a starting point for developing a digital screening algorithm. Thereby, web-based assessment tools constitute feasible, efficient, and cost-effective approaches. Thus, they seem to be beneficial in detecting high-risk pregnancies in order to improve maternal and infant birth outcomes in the long term.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.010 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".