Multi-view prediction of Alzheimer’s disease progression with end-to-end integrated framework
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Alzheimer's disease is a common neurodegenerative brain disease that affects the elderly population worldwide. Its early automatic detection is vital for early intervention and treatment. A common solution is to perform future cognitive score prediction based on the baseline brain structural magnetic resonance image (MRI), which can directly infer the potential severity of disease. Recently, several studies have modelled disease progression by predicting the future brain MRI that can provide visual information of brain changes over time. Nevertheless, no studies explore the intra correlation of these two solutions, and it is unknown whether the predicted MRI can assist the prediction of cognitive score. Here, instead of independent prediction, we aim to predict disease progression in multi-view, i.e., predicting subject-specific changes of cognitive score and MRI volume concurrently. To achieve this, we propose an end-to-end integrated framework, where a regression model and a generative adversarial network are integrated together and then jointly optimized. Three integration strategies are exploited to unify these two models. Moreover, considering that some brain regions, such as hippocampus and middle temporal gyrus, could change significantly during the disease progression, a region-of-interest (ROI) mask and a ROI loss are introduced into the integrated framework to leverage this anatomical prior knowledge. Experimental results on the longitudinal Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative dataset demonstrated that the integrated framework outperformed the independent regression model for cognitive score prediction. And its performance can be further improved with the ROI loss for both cognitive score and MRI prediction.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".