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Record W4200583686 · doi:10.1061/jtepbs.0000636

Improved DTTE Method for Route-Level Travel Time Estimation on Freeways

2021· article· en· W4200583686 on OpenAlexaff
Jing Cao, Yuchuan Du, Lu Mao, Yuxiong Ji, Fei Ma, Xu Wang

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Transportation Engineering Part A Systems · 2021
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicTraffic Prediction and Management Techniques
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Alberta
Fundersnot available
KeywordsTravel timeMean squared errorEstimationComputer scienceTrajectoryTraffic congestionSimulationReal-time computingData miningTransport engineeringStatisticsEngineeringMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Travel time estimation plays an important role in advanced traveler information systems (ATIS) for dynamic traffic management. Static travel time estimation (STTE) and dynamic travel time estimation (DTTE) are two of the major methods widely explored for travel time measurement. To analyze their performance on route-level travel time estimation on freeways where congestion may occur, this study developed a framework consisting of four steps: traffic state prediction, travel time estimation, results evaluation, and performance comparison. A METANET-based macroscopic traffic model was developed and employed to predict traffic states based on loop detector data. Then, a novel DTTE method was developed and is proposed herein that combines the piece-wise linear speed-based (PLSB) method and the trajectory assumption algorithm. The indices of the mean absolute relative error (MARE) and the root mean squared error (RMSE) were employed to analyze estimation accuracy by the traditional STTE method and the proposed DTTE method. The comparison results illustrate that during high-demand periods, the proposed DTTE method outperforms the traditional STTE method by producing results that better match reference travel times, which were obtained from video sensors installed along the urban freeway corridor.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.009
Threshold uncertainty score0.017

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.016
GPT teacher head0.234
Teacher spread0.218 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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