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Record W4205272315 · doi:10.5194/epsc2021-354

Planetary parameters impact in the large-scale circulation of Venus-like exoplanetary atmospheres and observational prospects

2021· preprint· en· W4205272315 on OpenAlexaff
Gabriella Gilli, Diogo Quirino, T. Navarro, Martin Turbet

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPhysics and Astronomy
TopicPlanetary Science and Exploration
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsExoplanetVenusPhysicsPlanetTerrestrial planetRADIUSAstrobiologyAstronomy

Abstract

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AbstractIn the perspective of detecting and characterizing more and more close-in-orbit hot terrestrial exoplanets transiting nearby M-dwarf stars (e.g., best Earth-size targets for observational studies), the atmosphere of our "sister" planet Venus is one of the most relevant cases to address observational prospects. The detection of Venus-like atmospheres at various orbital periods and planetary masses will create a picture of where the divergence between Earth and Venus originates [1].In this work, we propose to use a 3D Global Climate Model (GCM) developed explicitly for exoplanets and paleoclimate studies [2] to simulate the atmospheres of a possible class of Venus-like exoplanets i.e., rocky, highly irradiated exoplanets orbiting M-dwarf stars. The objectives are twofold: 1) to study the impact of changing specific planetary parameters, e.g., planetary radius and gravity, in the large-scale atmospheric circulation; and 2) to reproduce synthetic emission and reflected phase curves capable of addressing observational prospects.1.Introduction In the Solar System, Venus and the Earth are examples of two rocky planets with similar radii and mass values and possibly a similar bulk composition [3]. Nonetheless, the two planets also represent a scenario of divergent climate evolution. Thus, in terms of mass and radius parameters, Venus and Earth would be astrophysically indistinguishable in the event we would be observing them as exoplanets. Several modelling studies [4] established possible limits for both the habitable zone and the “Venus Zone” [1]. These 1D modelling studies offered a first approximation for the future differentiation between Earth-like and Venus-like exoplanet populations. Nonetheless, the complete characterisation and differentiation between these two populations can only be currently accomplished with dedicated 3D GCMs, which can reproduce the sort of climate feedbacks that ultimately constraint surface habitability conditions [5]. The diversity of planetary climates is expected to be significant given 1) the variety of planetary atmospheres on the rocky worlds of our Solar System 2) the diversity of the planetary parameters for the exoplanets observed so far. Thus, predicting the actual climate for a specific planet represents a challenging task [6]. A new Era for characterising rocky exoplanet atmosphere will be opened by the James Webb Space Telescope (JWST), foreseen to be launched in 2021 and continued by the ESA mission ARIEL scheduled for launch in 2029. In addition, a new generation of instruments is being developed, including a whole set of new high-resolution spectrographs for the Very Large Telescopes (VLT) and Extremely Large Telescopes (ELT). 2.GCM Modelling of Venus analogues We propose using the Generic GCM firstly developed at the Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique (hereinafter LMD G-GCM) to simulate Venus-like exoplanetary atmospheres and climate response to a realistic set of planetary parameters. We will also provide synthetic observables, reflected and emission phase curves, which are inherently 3D, to support the characterisation of the population of Venus-like exoplanets in the future. The LMD G-GCM uses a 3D dynamical core, common to all terrestrial planets, and a planet-specific physical core. It includes an up-to-date generalised radiative transfer for variable gaseous atmospheric compositions made of various cocktails of CO2, N2, and H2O, O2, CO, using the correlated-k method. Processes such as the radiative effect of clouds or Rayleigh scattering are considered. For instance, it has successfully been used to simulate the climate of other exoplanets like the cold super-earth Gliese 581d, a tidally-locked exoplanet like Gliese 581c/HD85512b [2], or Proxima b [5]. In this work, the LMD G-GCM is adapted to study close-in Venus-like exoplanets orbiting M-dwarf stars. The work is focused on the response of large-scale atmospheric circulation to critical parameters: radius, gravity, surface atmospheric pressure, solid-body rotation rate. For the latter, we will be selecting two likely modes, 1:1 and 3:2 spin-orbit resonances. Each parameter will be changed while keeping the others fixed. Combinations of realistic parameter variations will be selected according to specific mass-radius relationships [7]. This will allow for the characterisation of temperature and wind fields at different pressure levels, particularly at and above the classical Venus top cloud layer. 3.Preliminary Results To address the impact from simulating hot, dense atmospheres typical for Venus-like exoplanets, we run the LMD G-GCM using the planetary parameters of exoplanet TRAPPIST-1c as a framework for a possible Venus-like exoplanet. Synchronous rotation, with no obliquity and eccentricity, were assumed, together with a Venus-like atmosphere, with 92-bar surface pressure, and similar chemical composition with radiatively active Venus-type clouds, UV absorbers, and meridional variation of the cloud structure [8]. Quasi-convergence of temperature is achieved for the whole atmosphere after 15000 orbits (See Fig.1). Using the last orbit, the quasi-steady state obtained will be taken as the initial state to run simulations varying the parameters space, allowing the study of atmospheric variables (See Fig.2). In addition, top-of-the-atmosphere longitude-latitude maps of outgoing fluxes computed by the LMD G-GCM will be used to produce phase curves and interpret possible variations due to atmospheric dynamics (e.g., superrotation, jets, waves). Figure 1. Temperature profile (solid black line) for the quasi-steady state, used as a reference input for future simulations. The initial profile (thin blue line) is obtained after running the model for 300 days for a Venus-like planet orbiting a Sun-like star. Figure 2. Instantaneous temperature field for the cloud-top pressure level (p~0.02-bar) for TRAPPIST-1c, 300 orbits after the quasi-steady state was obtained. The sub-stellar point is represented by the white star. Acknowledgments This work is supported by Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT) through the research grants UIDB/04434/2020, UIDP/04434/2020, P-TUGA PTDC/FIS-AST/29942/2017.References[1] Kane et al.2018. ApJ.869[2] Wordsworth et al.2011. ApJL. 733. L48.[3] Hamano et al. 2013. Nature, 497, 607-610[4] Kopparapu et al.2014. ApJL. 787.L29.[5] Turbet et al.2016. A&A. 596. A112.[6] Forget & Leconte 2014. Phil. Trans. R. Soc.A372.[7] Zeng et al.2016. ApJ. 819. 127.[8] Garate-López & Lebonnois 2018 Icarus 314.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.014

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.252
Teacher spread0.219 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2021
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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Same topicPlanetary Science and ExplorationFrench-language works237,207